Football · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · 28/09, 01:30
Prediction: Real Tomayapo vs Real Oruro
Team pages: Real Tomayapo · Real Oruro
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.84Total
Real Tomayapo2.31
Real Oruro1.53
1X2
Real Tomayapo
Draw
Real Oruro
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Real Tomayapo
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Real Oruro
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Real Tomayapo
1–1–3
Real Oruro
(5 last)
- Real Tomayapo1-2Real Oruro
- Real Oruro5-2Real Tomayapo
- Real Tomayapo1-1Real Oruro
- Real Oruro2-0Real Tomayapo
- Real Tomayapo3-2Real Oruro
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real Tomayapo 1449 · Real Oruro 1459
| Real Tomayapo | Draw | Real Oruro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 21% | 24% |
| Market | 54% | 22% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.84 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Real Oruro: 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Tomayapo | Real Oruro | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 3.1 | 1.4 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 7 | 2 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.5 | 5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Tomayapo 1–1–3 Real Oruro
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 Bolivia Primera Division | Real Tomayapo | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Real Oruro |
| 28/11/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Real Oruro | 5-2 HT 1-2 | Real Tomayapo |
| 17/07/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Real Tomayapo | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Real Oruro |
| 25/06/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Real Oruro | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Real Tomayapo |
| 21/06/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Real Tomayapo | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Real Oruro |
Standings · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · Copa Bolivia 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nacional Potosi | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Real Tomayapo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 6 |
| 3 | Always Ready | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 6 |
| 4 | Real Oruro | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 3 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real Tomayapo | Real Oruro |
|---|---|---|
| Always Ready | 2-0 W | 2-4 L |
| Nacional Potosi | 1-5 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Tomayapo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-4 | 1-5 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 11/09 | Always Ready Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 04/09 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 01/09 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 08/11 | Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 11 | D |
| 30/10 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-2 | 3-6 | 13 | 1 | L |
| 28/10 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/10 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 22/10 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-2 | 2-7 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 04/10 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
Real Oruro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | GV San Jose Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/09 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | GV San Jose Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 20/08 | Always Ready Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 26/11 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 9 | D |
| 19/11 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 08/11 | GV San Jose Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 29/10 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/10 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 22/10 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Tomayapo vs Real Oruro?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Tomayapo win (54%). Probabilities: Real Tomayapo 54%, draw 22%, Real Oruro 24%.
How many goals are expected in Real Tomayapo vs Real Oruro?
The model expects 3.84 goals (Real Tomayapo 2.31 · Real Oruro 1.53), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Tomayapo vs Real Oruro?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.