Football · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · 22/09, 02:30
Prediction: Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo
Team pages: Independiente Petrolero · Real Tomayapo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.63Total
Independiente Petrolero2.17
Real Tomayapo1.46
1X2
Independiente Petrolero
Draw
Real Tomayapo
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Independiente Petrolero
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Real Tomayapo
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Independiente Petrolero
2–1–3
Real Tomayapo
(6 last)
- Real Tomayapo3-0Independiente Petrolero
- Real Tomayapo2-1Independiente Petrolero
- Independiente Petrolero5-2Real Tomayapo
- Real Tomayapo2-1Independiente Petrolero
- Real Tomayapo0-0Independiente Petrolero
- Real Tomayapo3-6Independiente Petrolero
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Independiente Petrolero 1455 · Real Tomayapo 1470
| Independiente Petrolero | Draw | Real Tomayapo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 22% | 25% |
| Market | 52% | 24% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Real Tomayapo: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Independiente Petrolero | Real Tomayapo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 2.2 | 1.9 / 2.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.4 | 3.2 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.6 | 2.9 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Independiente Petrolero 2–1–3 Real Tomayapo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Real Tomayapo | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Independiente Petrolero |
| 13/07/26 Bolivia Primera Division | Real Tomayapo | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Independiente Petrolero |
| 09/02/26 America Friendlies | Independiente Petrolero | 5-2 HT 3-0 | Real Tomayapo |
| 05/02/26 America Friendlies | Real Tomayapo | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Independiente Petrolero |
| 30/01/26 America Friendlies | Real Tomayapo | 0-0 | Independiente Petrolero |
| 30/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Real Tomayapo | 3-6 HT 0-2 | Independiente Petrolero |
Standings · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · Copa Bolivia 2026, Group D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolivar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Independiente Petrolero | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Blooming | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 3 |
| 4 | GV San Jose | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Independiente Petrolero | Real Tomayapo |
|---|---|---|
| Bolivar | 1-1 D | 1-5 L |
| Nacional Potosi | 1-2 L | 1-5 L |
| San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Independiente Petrolero (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Independiente Petrolero
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 01/09 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 20/08 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-2 | 5-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 09/11 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 30/10 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-0 | 6-3 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 27/10 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/10 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/10 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 04/10 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 01/10 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
Real Tomayapo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Always Ready Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 04/09 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 01/09 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 08/11 | Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 11 | D |
| 30/10 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-2 | 3-6 | 13 | 1 | L |
| 28/10 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/10 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 22/10 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-2 | 2-7 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 04/10 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 01/10 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Independiente Petrolero win (52%). Probabilities: Independiente Petrolero 52%, draw 23%, Real Tomayapo 24%.
How many goals are expected in Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo?
The model expects 3.63 goals (Independiente Petrolero 2.17 · Real Tomayapo 1.46), with a 59% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.