Football · San Marino Campionato · 18/09, 21:15
Prediction: AC Libertas vs SC Faetano
Team pages: AC Libertas · SC Faetano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
AC Libertas1.66
SC Faetano0.99
1X2
AC Libertas
Draw
SC Faetano
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
AC Libertas
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
SC Faetano
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AC Libertas
2–1–3
SC Faetano
(6 last)
- AC Libertas2-1SC Faetano
- SC Faetano1-1AC Libertas
- AC Libertas2-4SC Faetano
- SC Faetano3-1AC Libertas
- AC Libertas1-3SC Faetano
- SC Faetano1-2AC Libertas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AC Libertas 1469 · SC Faetano 1397
| AC Libertas | Draw | SC Faetano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 27% | 21% |
| Market | 53% | 26% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AC Libertas (rating 1469 vs 1397).
- H2H favours SC Faetano: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AC Libertas | SC Faetano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2.1 | 0.4 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 2.8 | 1.8 / 2.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.4 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Libertas 2–1–3 SC Faetano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 San Marino Campionato | AC Libertas | 2-1 HT 0-0 | SC Faetano |
| 18/10/25 San Marino Campionato | SC Faetano | 1-1 HT 0-1 | AC Libertas |
| 02/03/25 San Marino Campionato | AC Libertas | 2-4 HT 0-1 | SC Faetano |
| 02/11/24 San Marino Campionato | SC Faetano | 3-1 HT 0-1 | AC Libertas |
| 27/01/24 San Marino Campionato | AC Libertas | 1-3 HT 0-1 | SC Faetano |
| 30/09/23 San Marino Campionato | SC Faetano | 1-2 HT 1-1 | AC Libertas |
Standings · San Marino Campionato
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | SS Folgore/Falciano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | SS Virtus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | SP Domagnano | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | SS Cosmos | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | AC Libertas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | FC Fiorentino | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | SS San Giovanni | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 10 | Juvenes/Dogana | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | La Fiorita | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | SS Murata | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 13 | San Marino Academy U22 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 14 | SC Faetano | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 |
| 15 | SP Cailungo | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | Pennarossa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AC Libertas | SC Faetano |
|---|---|---|
| Juvenes/Dogana | 2-1 W | 0-4 L |
| SS Cosmos | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Tre Fiori | 0-3 L | 0-4 L |
| FC Fiorentino | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: AC Libertas (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AC Libertas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | SS Virtus San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 05/09 | Juvenes/Dogana San Marino Campionato |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 29/08 | SS Cosmos San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 29/04 | Juvenes/Dogana San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 11 | D |
| 26/04 | SS Virtus San Marino Campionato |
0-4 | 0-9 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 19/04 | Tre Penne San Marino Campionato |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 12/04 | Tre Fiori San Marino Campionato |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 08/04 | Juvenes/Dogana San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | FC Fiorentino San Marino Campionato |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/03 | SS Cosmos San Marino Campionato |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
SC Faetano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | San Marino Academy U22 San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 04/09 | Tre Fiori San Marino Campionato |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 28/08 | Juvenes/Dogana San Marino Campionato |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | SS Cosmos San Marino Campionato |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Tre Fiori San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | FC Fiorentino San Marino Campionato |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/04 | SP Domagnano San Marino Campionato |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 21/03 | SS San Giovanni San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 14/03 | Juvenes/Dogana San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 07/03 | San Marino Academy U22 San Marino Campionato |
1-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AC Libertas vs SC Faetano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AC Libertas win (52%). Probabilities: AC Libertas 52%, draw 26%, SC Faetano 22%.
How many goals are expected in AC Libertas vs SC Faetano?
The model expects 2.65 goals (AC Libertas 1.66 · SC Faetano 0.99), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in AC Libertas vs SC Faetano?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.