Football · San Marino Campionato · 19/09, 15:00
Prediction: SP Domagnano vs La Fiorita
Team pages: SP Domagnano · La Fiorita
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
SP Domagnano1.11
La Fiorita1.69
1X2
SP Domagnano
Draw
La Fiorita
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
SP Domagnano
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
La Fiorita
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SP Domagnano
0–2–4
La Fiorita
(6 last)
- SP Domagnano1-1La Fiorita
- La Fiorita1-1SP Domagnano
- La Fiorita3-0SP Domagnano
- SP Domagnano0-2La Fiorita
- La Fiorita2-0SP Domagnano
- SP Domagnano1-6La Fiorita
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SP Domagnano 1525 · La Fiorita 1518
| SP Domagnano | Draw | La Fiorita | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 26% | 50% |
| Market | 24% | 25% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours La Fiorita: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SP Domagnano | La Fiorita | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.9 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.5 | 2.3 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SP Domagnano 0–2–4 La Fiorita
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 San Marino Campionato | SP Domagnano | 1-1 HT 0-1 | La Fiorita |
| 14/12/25 San Marino Campionato | La Fiorita | 1-1 HT 0-0 | SP Domagnano |
| 16/03/25 San Marino Campionato | La Fiorita | 3-0 HT 1-0 | SP Domagnano |
| 23/11/24 San Marino Campionato | SP Domagnano | 0-2 HT 0-1 | La Fiorita |
| 14/04/24 San Marino Campionato | La Fiorita | 2-0 HT 1-0 | SP Domagnano |
| 06/01/24 San Marino Campionato | SP Domagnano | 1-6 HT 1-6 | La Fiorita |
Standings · San Marino Campionato
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | SS Folgore/Falciano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | SS Virtus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | SP Domagnano | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | SS Cosmos | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | AC Libertas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | FC Fiorentino | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | SS San Giovanni | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 10 | Juvenes/Dogana | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | La Fiorita | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | SS Murata | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 13 | San Marino Academy U22 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 14 | SC Faetano | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 |
| 15 | SP Cailungo | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | Pennarossa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SP Domagnano | La Fiorita |
|---|---|---|
| Tre Penne | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| SS Virtus | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SP Domagnano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Tre Fiori San Marino Campionato |
0-3 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 04/09 | SS San Giovanni San Marino Campionato |
3-0 | 4-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 28/08 | SP Cailungo San Marino Campionato |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Tre Penne San Marino Campionato |
0-3 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 12/05 | SS Virtus San Marino Campionato |
2-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 8 | W |
| 09/05 | SS Virtus San Marino Campionato |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 05/05 | SS Folgore/Falciano San Marino Campionato |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | SS Folgore/Falciano San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | SS Folgore/Falciano San Marino Campionato |
2-3 | 3-7 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | SS San Giovanni San Marino Campionato |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
La Fiorita
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | FC Fiorentino San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | San Marino Academy U22 San Marino Campionato |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | SS Virtus San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | SS Virtus San Marino Campionato |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/05 | Tre Penne San Marino Campionato |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 09/05 | Tre Penne San Marino Campionato |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 05/05 | FC Fiorentino San Marino Campionato |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | FC Fiorentino San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Fiorentino San Marino Campionato |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 19/04 | SS Cosmos San Marino Campionato |
3-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SP Domagnano vs La Fiorita?
According to our model, the most likely result is an La Fiorita win (50%). Probabilities: SP Domagnano 24%, draw 26%, La Fiorita 50%.
How many goals are expected in SP Domagnano vs La Fiorita?
The model expects 2.8 goals (SP Domagnano 1.11 · La Fiorita 1.69), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in SP Domagnano vs La Fiorita?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.