Prediction: Pennarossa vs FC Fiorentino
Team pages: Pennarossa · FC Fiorentino
- Pennarossa2-4FC Fiorentino
- FC Fiorentino2-0Pennarossa
- Pennarossa1-0FC Fiorentino
- FC Fiorentino4-0Pennarossa
- FC Fiorentino4-0Pennarossa
- Pennarossa0-1FC Fiorentino
| Pennarossa | Draw | FC Fiorentino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 22% | 59% |
| Market | 19% | 22% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours FC Fiorentino: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pennarossa | FC Fiorentino | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.5 | 1.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.3 | 1.5 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pennarossa 1–0–5 FC Fiorentino
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/01/26 San Marino Campionato | Pennarossa | 2-4 HT 2-1 | FC Fiorentino |
| 14/09/25 San Marino Campionato | FC Fiorentino | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Pennarossa |
| 23/02/25 San Marino Campionato | Pennarossa | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Fiorentino |
| 27/10/24 San Marino Campionato | FC Fiorentino | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Pennarossa |
| 21/01/24 San Marino Campionato | FC Fiorentino | 4-0 HT 4-0 | Pennarossa |
| 15/09/23 San Marino Campionato | Pennarossa | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Fiorentino |
Standings · San Marino Campionato
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | SS Folgore/Falciano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | SS Virtus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | SP Domagnano | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | SS Cosmos | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | AC Libertas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | FC Fiorentino | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | SS San Giovanni | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 10 | Juvenes/Dogana | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | La Fiorita | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | SS Murata | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 13 | San Marino Academy U22 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 14 | SC Faetano | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 |
| 15 | SP Cailungo | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | Pennarossa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pennarossa | FC Fiorentino |
|---|---|---|
| SS Murata | 1-4 L | 4-1 W |
| La Fiorita | 0-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Fiorentino (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pennarossa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | SS Cosmos San Marino Campionato |
0-3 | 1-6 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | SS Murata San Marino Campionato |
1-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Tre Fiori San Marino Campionato |
1-1 | 2-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/04 | SS Cosmos San Marino Campionato |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 26/04 | Tre Fiori San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 18/04 | Juvenes/Dogana San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 12/04 | SS Cosmos San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/04 | SP Cailungo San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 21/03 | SS Murata San Marino Campionato |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 14/03 | La Fiorita San Marino Campionato |
0-2 | 0-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
FC Fiorentino
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | La Fiorita San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 04/09 | SS Virtus San Marino Campionato |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 28/08 | San Marino Academy U22 San Marino Campionato |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/05 | La Fiorita San Marino Campionato |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | La Fiorita San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | La Fiorita San Marino Campionato |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | SS Murata San Marino Campionato |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | SC Faetano San Marino Campionato |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 07/04 | San Marino Academy U22 San Marino Campionato |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/03 | AC Libertas San Marino Campionato |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pennarossa vs FC Fiorentino?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Fiorentino win (59%). Probabilities: Pennarossa 19%, draw 22%, FC Fiorentino 59%.
How many goals are expected in Pennarossa vs FC Fiorentino?
The model expects 3.45 goals (Pennarossa 1.23 · FC Fiorentino 2.22), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Pennarossa vs FC Fiorentino?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.