Football · San Marino Campionato · 11/09, 21:15
Prediction: FC Fiorentino vs La Fiorita
Team pages: FC Fiorentino · La Fiorita
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
FC Fiorentino0.81
La Fiorita1.61
1X2
FC Fiorentino
Draw
La Fiorita
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Fiorentino
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
La Fiorita
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Fiorentino
2–4
La Fiorita
(6 last)
- FC Fiorentino3-2La Fiorita
- La Fiorita1-0FC Fiorentino
- FC Fiorentino1-2La Fiorita
- La Fiorita0-1FC Fiorentino
- FC Fiorentino0-3La Fiorita
- La Fiorita2-1FC Fiorentino
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Fiorentino 1483 · La Fiorita 1509
| FC Fiorentino | Draw | La Fiorita | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 27% | 55% |
| Market | 19% | 24% | 57% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours La Fiorita: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Fiorentino | La Fiorita | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.7 / 3 | 2.4 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Fiorentino 2–0–4 La Fiorita
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/26 San Marino Campionato | FC Fiorentino | 3-2 HT 2-1 | La Fiorita |
| 02/05/26 San Marino Campionato | La Fiorita | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Fiorentino |
| 25/04/26 San Marino Campionato | FC Fiorentino | 1-2 HT 1-1 | La Fiorita |
| 11/02/26 San Marino Campionato | La Fiorita | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Fiorentino |
| 06/04/25 San Marino Campionato | FC Fiorentino | 0-3 HT 0-0 | La Fiorita |
| 08/12/24 San Marino Campionato | La Fiorita | 2-1 HT 2-0 | FC Fiorentino |
Standings · San Marino Campionato
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | SS Folgore/Falciano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | SP Domagnano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Tre Penne | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | AC Libertas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | SS Virtus | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Juvenes/Dogana | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Fiorentino | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | SS Murata | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 10 | La Fiorita | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 11 | SS Cosmos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 11 | San Marino Academy U22 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | SP Cailungo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | SS San Giovanni | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 | Pennarossa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 | SC Faetano | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Fiorentino | La Fiorita |
|---|---|---|
| SS Virtus | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| San Marino Academy U22 | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Fiorentino
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | SS Virtus San Marino Campionato |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 28/08 | San Marino Academy U22 San Marino Campionato |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/05 | La Fiorita San Marino Campionato |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | La Fiorita San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | La Fiorita San Marino Campionato |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | SS Murata San Marino Campionato |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | SC Faetano San Marino Campionato |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 07/04 | San Marino Academy U22 San Marino Campionato |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/03 | AC Libertas San Marino Campionato |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/03 | SP Cailungo San Marino Campionato |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
La Fiorita
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | San Marino Academy U22 San Marino Campionato |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | SS Virtus San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | SS Virtus San Marino Campionato |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/05 | Tre Penne San Marino Campionato |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 09/05 | Tre Penne San Marino Campionato |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 05/05 | FC Fiorentino San Marino Campionato |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | FC Fiorentino San Marino Campionato |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Fiorentino San Marino Campionato |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 19/04 | SS Cosmos San Marino Campionato |
3-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 11/04 | SP Domagnano San Marino Campionato |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Fiorentino vs La Fiorita?
According to our model, the most likely result is an La Fiorita win (56%). Probabilities: FC Fiorentino 18%, draw 26%, La Fiorita 56%.
How many goals are expected in FC Fiorentino vs La Fiorita?
The model expects 2.42 goals (FC Fiorentino 0.81 · La Fiorita 1.61), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Fiorentino vs La Fiorita?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.