Football · Malawi Super League · 09/08, 14:30

Prediction: Mitundu Baptist FC vs Karonga United

Team pages: Mitundu Baptist FC · Karonga United

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.21Total
Mitundu Baptist FC1.28
Karonga United0.94
1X2
43% 32% 26%
Mitundu Baptist FC Draw Karonga United
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Mitundu Baptist FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WLLLWLWDWD
Karonga United 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LWLLDLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mitundu Baptist FC 1502 · Karonga United 1470
Mitundu Baptist FCDrawKaronga United
Our model43%31%26%
Market43%32%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Mitundu Baptist FCKaronga United
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 11.2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.70.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 3.91.9 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.8 / 0.22.5 / 0.1

Standings · Malawi Super League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Blue Eagles 11713 181222
2 Mighty Wanderers 11641 21722
3 Silver Strikers 11641 19522
4 Big Bullets 11551 12720
5 Masters FC 11524 141317
6 Ekhaya FC 11443 12716
7 Chitipa United 11515 91316
8 Moyale Barracks 11443 111216
9 Red Lions 11434 101115
10 Mitundu Baptist FC 11434 101115
11 MAFCO 11335 101212
12 Karonga United 11335 121912
13 Civil Service Utd 11326 61211
14 Dedza Dynamos 11326 71711
15 Kamuzu Barracks 11317 131710
16 Creck SC 11128 7165

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMitundu Baptist FCKaronga United
Silver Strikers 1-1 D 1-4 L
Creck SC 1-0 W 2-1 W
Ekhaya FC 0-0 D 1-2 L
Blue Eagles 3-2 W 2-3 L
Moyale Barracks 0-2 L 0-0 D
Red Lions 0-1 L 1-0 W
Mighty Wanderers 0-2 L 1-4 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 3 L 2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Mitundu Baptist FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mitundu Baptist FC

WLLLWLWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 Silver Strikers
Malawi Super League
1-1 1-1 72 D
18/07 Creck SC
Malawi Super League
1-0 1-0 23 W
05/07 Ekhaya FC
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 42 D
27/06 Blue Eagles
Malawi Super League
1-0 3-2 31 W
21/06 Moyale Barracks
Malawi Super League
0-2 0-2 53 L
30/05 Civil Service Utd
Malawi Super League
1-0 3-0 31 W
23/05 Red Lions
Malawi Super League
0-1 0-1 43 L
16/05 Mighty Wanderers
Malawi Super League
0-2 0-2 31 L
11/05 Masters FC
Malawi Super League
0-1 0-2 31 L
02/05 Kamuzu Barracks
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 53 W

Karonga United

LWLLDLWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Ekhaya FC
Malawi Top 8 Cup
0-1 1-2 41 L
26/07 Creck SC
Malawi Super League
2-1 2-1 11 W
19/07 Silver Strikers
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-4 21 L
12/07 Silver Strikers
Malawi Top 8 Cup
0-0 3-0 63 W
04/07 Dedza Dynamos
Malawi Super League
1-2 1-3 84 L
28/06 Moyale Barracks
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 62 D
21/06 Blue Eagles
Malawi Super League
2-2 2-3 34 L
14/06 Silver Strikers
Malawi Top 8 Cup
0-2 0-2 28 L
31/05 Red Lions
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 50 W
27/05 Mighty Wanderers
Malawi Super League
1-3 1-4 12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mitundu Baptist FC vs Karonga United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mitundu Baptist FC win (43%). Probabilities: Mitundu Baptist FC 43%, draw 32%, Karonga United 26%.

How many goals are expected in Mitundu Baptist FC vs Karonga United?

The model expects 2.21 goals (Mitundu Baptist FC 1.28 · Karonga United 0.94), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Mitundu Baptist FC vs Karonga United?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.