Prediction: Red Lions vs Kamuzu Barracks
Team pages: Red Lions · Kamuzu Barracks
- Kamuzu Barracks1-0Red Lions
- Kamuzu Barracks1-0Red Lions
- Kamuzu Barracks0-0Red Lions
- Kamuzu Barracks0-0Red Lions
| Red Lions | Draw | Kamuzu Barracks | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 30% | 25% |
| Market | 45% | 31% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Kamuzu Barracks: 2-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Red Lions | Kamuzu Barracks | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3 | 1.4 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 2.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Red Lions 0–2–2 Kamuzu Barracks
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/23 Malawi Super League | Kamuzu Barracks | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Red Lions |
| 08/07/22 Malawi Super League | Kamuzu Barracks | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Red Lions |
| 06/06/21 Malawi Super League | Kamuzu Barracks | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Red Lions |
| 10/11/18 Malawi Super League | Kamuzu Barracks | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Red Lions |
Standings · Malawi Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blue Eagles | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 22 |
| 2 | Mighty Wanderers | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 7 | 22 |
| 3 | Silver Strikers | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 5 | 22 |
| 4 | Big Bullets | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 20 |
| 5 | Masters FC | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 17 |
| 6 | Ekhaya FC | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 16 |
| 7 | Chitipa United | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 16 |
| 8 | Moyale Barracks | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 16 |
| 9 | Red Lions | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 15 |
| 10 | Mitundu Baptist FC | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | MAFCO | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
| 12 | Karonga United | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 12 |
| 13 | Civil Service Utd | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 11 |
| 14 | Dedza Dynamos | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 11 |
| 15 | Kamuzu Barracks | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 10 |
| 16 | Creck SC | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 5 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Red Lions | Kamuzu Barracks |
|---|---|---|
| Blue Eagles | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| MAFCO | 0-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Chitipa United | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Karonga United | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Mitundu Baptist FC | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Big Bullets | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Dedza Dynamos | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Ekhaya FC | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Red Lions (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Red Lions
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 18/07 | MAFCO Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/07 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Silver Strikers Malawi Super League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Big Bullets Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
Kamuzu Barracks
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | MAFCO Malawi Super League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 19/07 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Big Bullets Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Creck SC Malawi Super League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Red Lions vs Kamuzu Barracks?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Red Lions win (45%). Probabilities: Red Lions 45%, draw 30%, Kamuzu Barracks 24%.
How many goals are expected in Red Lions vs Kamuzu Barracks?
The model expects 2.34 goals (Red Lions 1.39 · Kamuzu Barracks 0.95), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Red Lions vs Kamuzu Barracks?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.