Football · Israel League Cup · 11/08, 18:30

Prediction: SC Kfar Qasim vs Hapoel Rishon Lezion

Team pages: SC Kfar Qasim · Hapoel Rishon Lezion

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

SC Kfar Qasim1.43

Hapoel Rishon Lezion1.56

1X2

34% 27% 39%

SC Kfar Qasim Draw Hapoel Rishon Lezion

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SC Kfar Qasim 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDWDDDLWLL

Hapoel Rishon Lezion 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLLLWL

Head-to-head

SC Kfar Qasim 3–1–2 Hapoel Rishon Lezion (6 last)

Hapoel Rishon Lezion0-2SC Kfar Qasim
SC Kfar Qasim3-0Hapoel Rishon Lezion
SC Kfar Qasim0-1Hapoel Rishon Lezion
Hapoel Rishon Lezion0-1SC Kfar Qasim
SC Kfar Qasim1-1Hapoel Rishon Lezion
Hapoel Rishon Lezion3-0SC Kfar Qasim

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SC Kfar Qasim 1492 · Hapoel Rishon Lezion 1407

	SC Kfar Qasim	Draw	Hapoel Rishon Lezion
Our model	34%	27%	40%
Market	33%	28%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SC Kfar Qasim (rating 1492 vs 1407).
H2H favours SC Kfar Qasim: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SC Kfar Qasim	Hapoel Rishon Lezion
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.4	1.2 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4	2.9 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.25

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.75

2 (-0.25)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Pinn 2.81 ★
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:02 +10’	2.70	3.25	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:08	2.81	3.03	2.28

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Kfar Qasim 3–1–2 Hapoel Rishon Lezion

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/03/26 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Rishon Lezion	0-2 HT 0-1	SC Kfar Qasim
31/10/25 Israel Leumit Liga	SC Kfar Qasim	3-0 HT 1-0	Hapoel Rishon Lezion
04/08/25 Israel League Cup	SC Kfar Qasim	0-1 HT 0-1	Hapoel Rishon Lezion
06/01/25 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Rishon Lezion	0-1 HT 0-1	SC Kfar Qasim
29/08/24 Israel Leumit Liga	SC Kfar Qasim	1-1 HT 0-0	Hapoel Rishon Lezion
08/08/24 Israel League Cup	Hapoel Rishon Lezion	3-0 HT 1-0	SC Kfar Qasim

Standings · Israel League Cup · League Cup, National 2026, Group D

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MS Ashdod	3	3	0	0	5	1	9
2	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa	3	1	1	1	6	6	4
3	Hapoel Rishon Lezion	3	1	0	2	5	6	3
4	Maccabi Kiryat Gat	3	0	1	2	4	7	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SC Kfar Qasim	Hapoel Rishon Lezion
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	0-1 L	2-2 D
Hapoel Kfar Shalem	2-1 W	2-6 L
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa	2-2 D	2-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SC Kfar Qasim (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

SC Kfar Qasim

LDWDDDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/08	Ironi Modiin Israel League Cup	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
03/08	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel League Cup	0-0	0-1	8	7	L
30/07	Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel League Cup	2-0	2-1	0	3	W
25/05	Hapoel Afula Israel Leumit Liga	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
19/05	Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga	0-2	2-2	7	4	D
15/05	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	2-2	2	4	D
11/05	Hapoel Nof HaGalil Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	1-1	6	7	D
05/05	Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	1-0	0	6	W
01/05	Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	1-1	6	3	D
24/04	Hapoel Hadera Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	1-2	4	4	L

Hapoel Rishon Lezion

DLLLLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/08	MS Ashdod Israel League Cup	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
03/08	Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel League Cup	1-0	3-1	8	3	W
30/07	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel League Cup	1-2	2-4	3	2	L
18/07	SK Kladno Europe Friendlies	0-2	0-2	2	4	L
25/05	Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga	1-2	2-6	9	3	L
20/05	Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
15/05	Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga	0-2	1-2	3	5	L
11/05	Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
05/05	SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	1-2	7	3	L
01/05	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga	1-1	2-2	6	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SC Kfar Qasim vs Hapoel Rishon Lezion?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hapoel Rishon Lezion win (39%). Probabilities: SC Kfar Qasim 34%, draw 27%, Hapoel Rishon Lezion 39%.

How many goals are expected in SC Kfar Qasim vs Hapoel Rishon Lezion?

The model expects 2.99 goals (SC Kfar Qasim 1.43 · Hapoel Rishon Lezion 1.56), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in SC Kfar Qasim vs Hapoel Rishon Lezion?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.