Football · Israel League Cup · 16/08, 19:00
Prediction: Hapoel Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
Team pages: Hapoel Kiryat Shmona · Hapoel Tel Aviv
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.84Total
Hapoel Kiryat Shmona1.2
Hapoel Tel Aviv1.64
1X2
Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
Draw
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Hapoel Tel Aviv
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
0–2–4
Hapoel Tel Aviv
(6 last)
- Hapoel Kiryat Shmona2-2Hapoel Tel Aviv
- Hapoel Tel Aviv2-1Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
- Hapoel Tel Aviv2-2Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
- Hapoel Kiryat Shmona0-1Hapoel Tel Aviv
- Hapoel Tel Aviv2-1Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
- Hapoel Tel Aviv2-0Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hapoel Kiryat Shmona 1562 · Hapoel Tel Aviv 1548
| Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | Draw | Hapoel Tel Aviv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 27% | 47% |
| Market | 27% | 26% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Hapoel Tel Aviv: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | Hapoel Tel Aviv | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.7 | 1.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.7 | 1.8 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Kiryat Shmona 0–2–4 Hapoel Tel Aviv
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/25 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
| 23/08/25 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona |
| 06/05/23 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona |
| 18/02/23 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
| 30/10/22 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona |
| 25/12/21 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Hapoel Haifa Israel League Cup |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 11 | W |
| 04/08 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin Israel League Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Ironi Tiberias Israel League Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 28/07 | Maccabi Haifa Israel League Cup |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 18/05 | MS Ashdod Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin Israel Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Hapoel Haifa Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 29/04 | Maccabi Netanya Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Ironi Tiberias Israel Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
Hapoel Tel Aviv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | GKS Katowice UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/08 | GKS Katowice UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 30/07 | Ludogorets Razgrad UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 23/07 | Ludogorets Razgrad UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel League Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 14/07 | Dukla Banska Bystrica Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | D |
| 11/07 | Dunajska Streda Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 08/07 | FC Trinity Zlin Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 03/07 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 23/05 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hapoel Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hapoel Tel Aviv win (47%). Probabilities: Hapoel Kiryat Shmona 27%, draw 26%, Hapoel Tel Aviv 47%.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
The model expects 2.84 goals (Hapoel Kiryat Shmona 1.2 · Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.64), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.