Football · Israel League Cup · 16/08, 19:00
Prediction: Maccabi Netanya vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
Team pages: Maccabi Netanya · Maccabi Tel Aviv
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.58Total
Maccabi Netanya1.48
Maccabi Tel Aviv2.1
1X2
Maccabi Netanya
Draw
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Maccabi Netanya
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Maccabi Netanya
0–1–5
Maccabi Tel Aviv
(6 last)
- Maccabi Netanya1-1Maccabi Tel Aviv
- Maccabi Tel Aviv4-0Maccabi Netanya
- Maccabi Netanya1-6Maccabi Tel Aviv
- Maccabi Tel Aviv4-1Maccabi Netanya
- Maccabi Tel Aviv4-1Maccabi Netanya
- Maccabi Netanya1-2Maccabi Tel Aviv
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maccabi Netanya 1554 · Maccabi Tel Aviv 1574
| Maccabi Netanya | Draw | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 23% | 51% |
| Market | 26% | 22% | 51% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.58 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Maccabi Tel Aviv: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maccabi Netanya | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.3 | 1.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.8 | 3 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.5 | 4.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Netanya 0–1–5 Maccabi Tel Aviv
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/12/25 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Netanya | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
| 31/08/25 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Maccabi Netanya |
| 12/05/25 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Netanya | 1-6 HT 1-2 | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
| 05/04/25 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 4-1 HT 3-1 | Maccabi Netanya |
| 18/01/25 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Maccabi Netanya |
| 06/10/24 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Netanya | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maccabi Netanya
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel League Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel League Cup |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 29/07 | Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel League Cup |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Hapoel Jerusalem Israel League Cup |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Wieczysta Krakow Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 15/07 | Odra Opole Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 18/05 | Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 13/05 | Hapoel Haifa Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Ironi Tiberias Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/05 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
Maccabi Tel Aviv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | CSKA Sofia UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 06/08 | CSKA Sofia UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 30/07 | Sheriff Tiraspol UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
1-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 23/07 | Sheriff Tiraspol UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 16/07 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Super Cup |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 03/07 | IMT Novi Belgrade Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 26/05 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 9 | W |
| 23/05 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 19/05 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Premier League |
2-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maccabi Netanya vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Maccabi Tel Aviv win (51%). Probabilities: Maccabi Netanya 26%, draw 23%, Maccabi Tel Aviv 51%.
How many goals are expected in Maccabi Netanya vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
The model expects 3.58 goals (Maccabi Netanya 1.48 · Maccabi Tel Aviv 2.1), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Maccabi Netanya vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.