Football · Israel League Cup · 15/08, 19:15

Prediction: Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Petah Tikva

Team pages: Ironi Tiberias · Maccabi Petah Tikva

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.76Total
Ironi Tiberias1.35
Maccabi Petah Tikva1.42
1X2
34% 28% 38%
Ironi Tiberias Draw Maccabi Petah Tikva
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ironi Tiberias 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WDWWWWWLLL
Maccabi Petah Tikva 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LDWDDDLLLW
Head-to-head
Ironi Tiberias 1–3–2 Maccabi Petah Tikva (6 last)
  • Ironi Tiberias0-0Maccabi Petah Tikva
  • Ironi Tiberias1-2Maccabi Petah Tikva
  • Maccabi Petah Tikva0-0Ironi Tiberias
  • Ironi Tiberias0-1Maccabi Petah Tikva
  • Ironi Tiberias2-2Maccabi Petah Tikva
  • Maccabi Petah Tikva0-3Ironi Tiberias
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ironi Tiberias 1527 · Maccabi Petah Tikva 1479
Ironi TiberiasDrawMaccabi Petah Tikva
Our model34%28%38%
Market34%28%38%
Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ironi Tiberias (rating 1527 vs 1479).
  • H2H favours Maccabi Petah Tikva: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ironi TiberiasMaccabi Petah Tikva
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.31.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.80.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 42.6 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.33.2 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ironi Tiberias 132 Maccabi Petah Tikva

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/05/25
Israel Premier League
Ironi Tiberias0-0
HT 0-0
Maccabi Petah Tikva
08/02/25
Israel Premier League
Ironi Tiberias1-2
HT 0-1
Maccabi Petah Tikva
02/11/24
Israel Premier League
Maccabi Petah Tikva0-0
HT 0-0
Ironi Tiberias
14/04/23
Israel Leumit Liga
Ironi Tiberias0-1
HT 0-0
Maccabi Petah Tikva
17/03/23
Israel Leumit Liga
Ironi Tiberias2-2
HT 1-2
Maccabi Petah Tikva
16/12/22
Israel Leumit Liga
Maccabi Petah Tikva0-3
HT 0-0
Ironi Tiberias

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentIroni TiberiasMaccabi Petah Tikva
Hapoel Jerusalem FC 2-0 W 0-1 L
Maccabi Netanya 4-3 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ironi Tiberias (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ironi Tiberias

WDWWWWWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/08 Maccabi Haifa
Israel League Cup
1-3 2-4 13 L
01/08 Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
Israel League Cup
0-0 0-1 63 L
28/07 Hapoel Haifa
Israel League Cup
1-2 1-3 64 L
25/07 Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin
Israel League Cup
0-1 2-1 63 W
18/05 Hapoel Jerusalem FC
Israel Premier League
1-0 2-0 04 W
13/05 Maccabi Bnei Raina
Israel Premier League
1-0 1-0 12 W
10/05 Maccabi Netanya
Israel Premier League
1-1 4-3 124 W
03/05 MS Ashdod
Israel Premier League
1-0 3-0 14 W
29/04 Hapoel Haifa
Israel Premier League
0-1 1-1 52 D
26/04 Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
Israel Premier League
2-0 2-0 26 W

Maccabi Petah Tikva

LDWDDDLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Hapoel Ramat Gan
Israel League Cup
0-0 2-1 64 W
02/08 Hapoel Jerusalem FC
Israel League Cup
0-0 0-1 02 L
29/07 Maccabi Netanya
Israel League Cup
1-1 1-2 53 L
25/07 Hapoel Petah Tikva
Israel League Cup
0-0 0-1 23 L
25/05 SC Kiryat Yam
Israel Leumit Liga
0-0 0-0 36 D
20/05 Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
Israel Leumit Liga
1-0 2-2 32 D
15/05 Hapoel Kfar Saba
Israel Leumit Liga
1-1 2-2 54 D
11/05 Hapoel Rishon Lezion
Israel Leumit Liga
1-0 2-0 74 W
05/05 Hapoel Ramat Gan
Israel Leumit Liga
1-0 1-1 54 D
01/05 Maccabi Herzliya
Israel Leumit Liga
1-1 1-2 123 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Petah Tikva?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Maccabi Petah Tikva win (38%). Probabilities: Ironi Tiberias 34%, draw 28%, Maccabi Petah Tikva 38%.

How many goals are expected in Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Petah Tikva?

The model expects 2.76 goals (Ironi Tiberias 1.35 · Maccabi Petah Tikva 1.42), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Petah Tikva?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.