Football · Israel League Cup · 15/08, 19:30
Prediction: Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
Team pages: Hapoel Haifa · Hapoel Beer Sheva
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.24Total
Hapoel Haifa1.74
Hapoel Beer Sheva1.5
1X2
Hapoel Haifa
Draw
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Haifa
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hapoel Haifa
0–1–5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
(6 last)
- Hapoel Beer Sheva1-1Hapoel Haifa
- Hapoel Haifa3-4Hapoel Beer Sheva
- Hapoel Beer Sheva5-0Hapoel Haifa
- Hapoel Haifa1-2Hapoel Beer Sheva
- Hapoel Haifa0-1Hapoel Beer Sheva
- Hapoel Beer Sheva3-0Hapoel Haifa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hapoel Haifa 1524 · Hapoel Beer Sheva 1531
| Hapoel Haifa | Draw | Hapoel Beer Sheva | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 25% | 32% |
| Market | 41% | 28% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Hapoel Beer Sheva: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hapoel Haifa | Hapoel Beer Sheva | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 1.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.2 | 2.2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.2 | 4.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Haifa 0–1–5 Hapoel Beer Sheva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Hapoel Haifa |
| 29/11/25 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Haifa | 3-4 HT 0-2 | Hapoel Beer Sheva |
| 24/05/25 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Hapoel Haifa |
| 19/04/25 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Haifa | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Hapoel Beer Sheva |
| 12/01/25 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Haifa | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Beer Sheva |
| 29/09/24 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Hapoel Haifa |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hapoel Haifa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona Israel League Cup |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 11 | L |
| 01/08 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin Israel League Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 8 | W |
| 28/07 | Ironi Tiberias Israel League Cup |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Maccabi Haifa Israel League Cup |
2-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 18/05 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 13/05 | Maccabi Netanya Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | MS Ashdod Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 29/04 | Ironi Tiberias Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Crvena Zvezda UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 04/08 | Crvena Zvezda UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 29/07 | Vikingur Reykjavik UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 21/07 | Vikingur Reykjavik UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 16/07 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Super Cup |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 05/07 | Omonia Nicosia Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 01/07 | Radomiak Radom Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 26/05 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 23/05 | Maccabi Haifa Israel Premier League |
1-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 19/05 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
2-2 | 4-2 | 9 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hapoel Haifa win (42%). Probabilities: Hapoel Haifa 42%, draw 27%, Hapoel Beer Sheva 32%.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
The model expects 3.24 goals (Hapoel Haifa 1.74 · Hapoel Beer Sheva 1.5), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.