Football · Malawi Super League · 08/08, 14:30
Prediction: MAFCO vs Blue Eagles
Team pages: MAFCO · Blue Eagles
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.18Total
MAFCO1.02
Blue Eagles1.16
1X2
MAFCO
Draw
Blue Eagles
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
MAFCO
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Blue Eagles
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
MAFCO
0–6
Blue Eagles
(6 last)
- MAFCO0-1Blue Eagles
- MAFCO1-2Blue Eagles
- Blue Eagles2-1MAFCO
- MAFCO0-1Blue Eagles
- MAFCO0-1Blue Eagles
- MAFCO0-1Blue Eagles
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · MAFCO 1464 · Blue Eagles 1558
| MAFCO | Draw | Blue Eagles | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 32% | 38% |
| Market | 33% | 28% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.18 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Blue Eagles (rating 1464 vs 1558).
- H2H favours Blue Eagles: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| MAFCO | Blue Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 1.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.1 | 2.1 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · MAFCO 0–0–6 Blue Eagles
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/26 Malawi Challenge Cup | MAFCO | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Blue Eagles |
| 19/11/25 Malawi Super League | MAFCO | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Blue Eagles |
| 21/06/25 Malawi Super League | Blue Eagles | 2-1 HT 1-0 | MAFCO |
| 24/06/23 Malawi Super League | MAFCO | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Blue Eagles |
| 20/03/22 Malawi Super League | MAFCO | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Blue Eagles |
| 12/06/21 Malawi Super League | MAFCO | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Blue Eagles |
Standings · Malawi Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blue Eagles | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 22 |
| 2 | Mighty Wanderers | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 7 | 22 |
| 3 | Silver Strikers | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 5 | 22 |
| 4 | Big Bullets | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 20 |
| 5 | Masters FC | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 17 |
| 6 | Ekhaya FC | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 16 |
| 7 | Chitipa United | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 16 |
| 8 | Moyale Barracks | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 16 |
| 9 | Red Lions | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 15 |
| 10 | Mitundu Baptist FC | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | MAFCO | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
| 12 | Karonga United | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 12 |
| 13 | Civil Service Utd | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 11 |
| 14 | Dedza Dynamos | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 11 |
| 15 | Kamuzu Barracks | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 10 |
| 16 | Creck SC | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 5 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | MAFCO | Blue Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Kamuzu Barracks | 1-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Red Lions | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Mighty Wanderers | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Dedza Dynamos | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Karonga United | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Creck SC | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Big Bullets | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Blue Eagles (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
MAFCO
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Red Lions Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/07 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 28/06 | Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 20/06 | Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Silver Strikers Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Creck SC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Big Bullets Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
Blue Eagles
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Top 8 Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Red Lions Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 19/07 | Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 11/07 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Top 8 Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Creck SC Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Big Bullets Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in MAFCO vs Blue Eagles?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Blue Eagles win (39%). Probabilities: MAFCO 32%, draw 29%, Blue Eagles 39%.
How many goals are expected in MAFCO vs Blue Eagles?
The model expects 2.18 goals (MAFCO 1.02 · Blue Eagles 1.16), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in MAFCO vs Blue Eagles?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.