Football · Poland Ekstraliga Women · 08/08, 17:00
Prediction: Slask Wroclaw (W) vs UKS SMS Lodz (W)
Team pages: Slask Wroclaw (W) · UKS SMS Lodz (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.21Total
Slask Wroclaw (W)1.65
UKS SMS Lodz (W)1.56
1X2
Slask Wroclaw (W)
Draw
UKS SMS Lodz (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Slask Wroclaw (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
UKS SMS Lodz (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Slask Wroclaw (W)
2–2–2
UKS SMS Lodz (W)
(6 last)
- UKS SMS Lodz (W)1-0Slask Wroclaw (W)
- Slask Wroclaw (W)2-1UKS SMS Lodz (W)
- UKS SMS Lodz (W)1-1Slask Wroclaw (W)
- Slask Wroclaw (W)0-0UKS SMS Lodz (W)
- UKS SMS Lodz (W)2-0Slask Wroclaw (W)
- Slask Wroclaw (W)2-0UKS SMS Lodz (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Slask Wroclaw (W) 1475 · UKS SMS Lodz (W) 1504
| Slask Wroclaw (W) | Draw | UKS SMS Lodz (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 25% | 35% |
| Market | 40% | 24% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Slask Wroclaw (W) | UKS SMS Lodz (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.8 | 1.8 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.3 | 3.1 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 2.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Slask Wroclaw (W) 2–2–2 UKS SMS Lodz (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Poland Ekstraliga Women | UKS SMS Lodz (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Slask Wroclaw (W) |
| 23/08/25 Poland Ekstraliga Women | Slask Wroclaw (W) | 2-1 HT 2-0 | UKS SMS Lodz (W) |
| 25/05/25 Poland Ekstraliga Women | UKS SMS Lodz (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Slask Wroclaw (W) |
| 09/11/24 Poland Ekstraliga Women | Slask Wroclaw (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | UKS SMS Lodz (W) |
| 11/05/24 Poland Ekstraliga Women | UKS SMS Lodz (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Slask Wroclaw (W) |
| 04/11/23 Poland Ekstraliga Women | Slask Wroclaw (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | UKS SMS Lodz (W) |
Standings · Poland Ekstraliga Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | GKS Katowice (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Gornik Leczna (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan UAM (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | AZS UJ Krakow (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Pogon Szczecin (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Legia Warsaw (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 7 | Slask Wroclaw (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | APLG Gdansk (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | Sleza Wroclaw (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | UKS SMS Lodz (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Slask Wroclaw (W) | UKS SMS Lodz (W) |
|---|---|---|
| AZS UJ Krakow (W) | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Czarni Sosnowiec (W) | 1-2 L | 0-5 L |
| Pogon Tczew (W) | 0-2 L | 3-3 D |
| GKS Katowice (W) | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Lech Poznan UAM (W) | 3-3 D | 1-1 D |
| Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) | 6-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Slask Wroclaw (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | AZS UJ Krakow (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Sparta Prague (W) Women’s Friendly |
0-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Pogon Szczecin (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 23/05 | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Pogon Tczew (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | GKS Katowice (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Lech Poznan UAM (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
2-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | AZS UJ Krakow (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 04/04 | Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-1 | 6-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 29/03 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
UKS SMS Lodz (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | GKS Katowice (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Lech Poznan UAM (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | AZS UJ Krakow (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 03/04 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 29/03 | APLG Gdansk (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
4-0 | 6-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 25/03 | Gornik Leczna (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 21/03 | Pogon Tczew (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
3-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Slask Wroclaw (W) vs UKS SMS Lodz (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Slask Wroclaw (W) win (40%). Probabilities: Slask Wroclaw (W) 40%, draw 25%, UKS SMS Lodz (W) 36%.
How many goals are expected in Slask Wroclaw (W) vs UKS SMS Lodz (W)?
The model expects 3.21 goals (Slask Wroclaw (W) 1.65 · UKS SMS Lodz (W) 1.56), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Slask Wroclaw (W) vs UKS SMS Lodz (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.