Football · Poland Ekstraliga Women · 16/08, 12:00
Prediction: Gornik Leczna (W) vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)
Team pages: Gornik Leczna (W) · Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.09Total
Gornik Leczna (W)2.26
Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)0.83
1X2
Gornik Leczna (W)
Draw
Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Gornik Leczna (W)
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gornik Leczna (W)
2–1–3
Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)
(6 last)
- Gornik Leczna (W)0-2Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)
- Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)1-4Gornik Leczna (W)
- Gornik Leczna (W)0-1Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)
- Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)0-0Gornik Leczna (W)
- Gornik Leczna (W)0-1Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)
- Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)0-1Gornik Leczna (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gornik Leczna (W) 1540 · Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) 1463
| Gornik Leczna (W) | Draw | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 20% | 11% |
| Market | 69% | 19% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gornik Leczna (W) (rating 1540 vs 1463).
- H2H favours Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W): 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gornik Leczna (W) | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 7 | 1.6 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 2.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gornik Leczna (W) 2–1–3 Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Poland Ekstraliga Women | Gornik Leczna (W) | 0-2 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) |
| 31/08/25 Poland Ekstraliga Women | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Gornik Leczna (W) |
| 12/04/25 Poland Ekstraliga Women | Gornik Leczna (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) |
| 22/09/24 Poland Ekstraliga Women | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gornik Leczna (W) |
| 25/05/24 Poland Ekstraliga Women | Gornik Leczna (W) | 0-1 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) |
| 12/11/23 Poland Ekstraliga Women | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Gornik Leczna (W) |
Standings · Poland Ekstraliga Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GKS Katowice (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Gornik Leczna (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Legia Warsaw (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | AZS UJ Krakow (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Pogon Szczecin (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | Lech Poznan UAM (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
| 8 | UKS SMS Lodz (W) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 |
| 9 | Slask Wroclaw (W) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 10 | Sleza Wroclaw (W) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | APLG Gdansk (W) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gornik Leczna (W) | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) |
|---|---|---|
| APLG Gdansk (W) | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Pogon Tczew (W) | 5-0 W | 5-1 W |
| GKS Katowice (W) | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Lech Poznan UAM (W) | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| AZS UJ Krakow (W) | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Gornik Leczna (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gornik Leczna (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Pogon Szczecin (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | APLG Gdansk (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Pogon Tczew (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
4-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Pogon Szczecin (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | GKS Katowice (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Lech Poznan UAM (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 04/04 | AZS UJ Krakow (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 01/04 | Lech Poznan UAM (W) Poland Cup Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Legia Warsaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | GKS Katowice (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 22/07 | Slavia Prague (W) Women’s Friendly |
0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 15/07 | GKS Katowice (W) Women’s Friendly |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 30/05 | Lech Poznan UAM (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | AZS UJ Krakow (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Pogon Tczew (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 5-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | APLG Gdansk (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 03/04 | UKS SMS Lodz (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gornik Leczna (W) vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gornik Leczna (W) win (69%). Probabilities: Gornik Leczna (W) 69%, draw 19%, Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) 12%.
How many goals are expected in Gornik Leczna (W) vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)?
The model expects 3.09 goals (Gornik Leczna (W) 2.26 · Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) 0.83), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Gornik Leczna (W) vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.