Football · Poland Ekstraliga Women · 16/08, 12:00

Prediction: AZS UJ Krakow (W) vs Pogon Szczecin (W)

Team pages: AZS UJ Krakow (W) · Pogon Szczecin (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

AZS UJ Krakow (W)0.87

Pogon Szczecin (W)2.01

1X2

15% 21% 64%

AZS UJ Krakow (W) Draw Pogon Szczecin (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

0-2

Recent form · 10 last

AZS UJ Krakow (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LLWDLWWWWW

Pogon Szczecin (W) 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWDLDWWWWL

Head-to-head

AZS UJ Krakow (W) 1–1–4 Pogon Szczecin (W) (6 last)

AZS UJ Krakow (W)0-6Pogon Szczecin (W)
Pogon Szczecin (W)0-0AZS UJ Krakow (W)
Pogon Szczecin (W)6-1AZS UJ Krakow (W)
AZS UJ Krakow (W)1-2Pogon Szczecin (W)
AZS UJ Krakow (W)0-2Pogon Szczecin (W)
Pogon Szczecin (W)1-2AZS UJ Krakow (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AZS UJ Krakow (W) 1540 · Pogon Szczecin (W) 1557

	AZS UJ Krakow (W)	Draw	Pogon Szczecin (W)
Our model	14%	23%	63%
Market	16%	19%	65%

Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Pogon Szczecin (W): 4-1-1.
High corners: 13.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AZS UJ Krakow (W)	Pogon Szczecin (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.2	1.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/56/22%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5.6	4.3 / 8.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

15.50

X4.75

21.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.98

2 (-1.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.02

Under 3.251.77

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 6.00▲	Bet365 6.00
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	1.38 → 1.36▼	Bet365 1.36

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
18:26 +6’	5.50	4.75	1.38
01:05 +6’	6.00▲	4.75	1.36▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · AZS UJ Krakow (W) 1–1–4 Pogon Szczecin (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Poland Ekstraliga Women	AZS UJ Krakow (W)	0-6 HT 0-5	Pogon Szczecin (W)
13/09/25 Poland Ekstraliga Women	Pogon Szczecin (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	AZS UJ Krakow (W)
03/03/24 Poland Ekstraliga Women	Pogon Szczecin (W)	6-1 HT 1-0	AZS UJ Krakow (W)
19/08/23 Poland Ekstraliga Women	AZS UJ Krakow (W)	1-2 HT 1-1	Pogon Szczecin (W)
04/03/23 Poland Ekstraliga Women	AZS UJ Krakow (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	Pogon Szczecin (W)
21/08/22 Poland Ekstraliga Women	Pogon Szczecin (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	AZS UJ Krakow (W)

Standings · Poland Ekstraliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GKS Katowice (W)	2	2	0	0	8	1	6
2	Gornik Leczna (W)	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
3	Legia Warsaw (W)	3	2	0	1	9	6	6
4	AZS UJ Krakow (W)	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
5	Czarni Sosnowiec (W)	1	1	0	0	5	0	3
6	Pogon Szczecin (W)	2	1	0	1	3	4	3
7	Lech Poznan UAM (W)	3	1	0	2	5	9	3
8	UKS SMS Lodz (W)	3	0	2	1	1	6	2
9	Slask Wroclaw (W)	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
10	Sleza Wroclaw (W)	2	0	1	1	0	2	1
11	APLG Gdansk (W)	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
12	Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)	2	0	0	2	2	7	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AZS UJ Krakow (W)	Pogon Szczecin (W)
Slask Wroclaw (W)	2-1 W	1-0 W
Gornik Leczna (W)	1-0 W	1-3 L
Czarni Sosnowiec (W)	0-1 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

AZS UJ Krakow (W)

LLWDLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	APLG Gdansk (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	–	2-1	–	–	W
02/08	Slask Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-0	2-1	1	3	W
30/05	Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	1-0	4-0	8	5	W
22/05	Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
09/05	APLG Gdansk (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	2-0	2-0	12	4	W
02/05	UKS SMS Lodz (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
25/04	Slask Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	1-1	2-2	9	3	D
04/04	Gornik Leczna (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
28/03	Pogon Szczecin (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-5	0-6	2	0	L
21/03	Czarni Sosnowiec (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-1	0-1	8	2	L

Pogon Szczecin (W)

DWDLDWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Gornik Leczna (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-0	1-3	–	–	L
01/08	Legia Warsaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	2-1	2-1	2	2	W
30/05	Slask Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	1-0	1-0	10	7	W
23/05	Gornik Leczna (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
10/05	Pogon Tczew (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	1-0	3-0	9	2	W
02/05	Czarni Sosnowiec (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-1	2-2	5	5	D
25/04	GKS Katowice (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	1-0	2-4	12	3	L
21/04	Czarni Sosnowiec (W) Poland Cup Women	0-1	1-1	12	6	D
04/04	Lech Poznan UAM (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	2-0	3-0	7	5	W
01/04	Lech Poznan UAM II (W) Poland Cup Women	0-0	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AZS UJ Krakow (W) vs Pogon Szczecin (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Pogon Szczecin (W) win (64%). Probabilities: AZS UJ Krakow (W) 15%, draw 21%, Pogon Szczecin (W) 64%.

How many goals are expected in AZS UJ Krakow (W) vs Pogon Szczecin (W)?

The model expects 2.88 goals (AZS UJ Krakow (W) 0.87 · Pogon Szczecin (W) 2.01), with a 58% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in AZS UJ Krakow (W) vs Pogon Szczecin (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.