Football · Poland Ekstraliga Women · 16/08, 17:00

Prediction: Slask Wroclaw (W) vs APLG Gdansk (W)

Team pages: Slask Wroclaw (W) · APLG Gdansk (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Slask Wroclaw (W)1.88

APLG Gdansk (W)1.23

1X2

52% 24% 24%

Slask Wroclaw (W) Draw APLG Gdansk (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Slask Wroclaw (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WDDLLLLWLD

APLG Gdansk (W) 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWLWLL

Head-to-head

Slask Wroclaw (W) 4–2 APLG Gdansk (W) (6 last)

Slask Wroclaw (W)3-2APLG Gdansk (W)
APLG Gdansk (W)1-0Slask Wroclaw (W)
APLG Gdansk (W)2-0Slask Wroclaw (W)
Slask Wroclaw (W)3-0APLG Gdansk (W)
Slask Wroclaw (W)1-0APLG Gdansk (W)
APLG Gdansk (W)1-2Slask Wroclaw (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Slask Wroclaw (W) 1467 · APLG Gdansk (W) 1446

	Slask Wroclaw (W)	Draw	APLG Gdansk (W)
Our model	52%	25%	24%
Market	52%	24%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Slask Wroclaw (W): 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Slask Wroclaw (W)	APLG Gdansk (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.8	0.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	33/22/44%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.8	2.1 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	1.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.75

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
19:47 +3’	1.73	3.75	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Slask Wroclaw (W) 4–0–2 APLG Gdansk (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Poland Ekstraliga Women	Slask Wroclaw (W)	3-2 HT 3-2	APLG Gdansk (W)
30/08/25 Poland Ekstraliga Women	APLG Gdansk (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Slask Wroclaw (W)
01/03/25 Poland Ekstraliga Women	APLG Gdansk (W)	2-0 HT 2-0	Slask Wroclaw (W)
11/08/24 Poland Ekstraliga Women	Slask Wroclaw (W)	3-0	APLG Gdansk (W)
05/05/24 Poland Ekstraliga Women	Slask Wroclaw (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	APLG Gdansk (W)
24/04/24 Poland Cup Women	APLG Gdansk (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Slask Wroclaw (W)

Standings · Poland Ekstraliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GKS Katowice (W)	2	2	0	0	8	1	6
2	Gornik Leczna (W)	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
3	Legia Warsaw (W)	3	2	0	1	9	6	6
4	AZS UJ Krakow (W)	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
5	Czarni Sosnowiec (W)	1	1	0	0	5	0	3
6	Pogon Szczecin (W)	2	1	0	1	3	4	3
7	Lech Poznan UAM (W)	3	1	0	2	5	9	3
8	UKS SMS Lodz (W)	3	0	2	1	1	6	2
9	Slask Wroclaw (W)	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
10	Sleza Wroclaw (W)	2	0	1	1	0	2	1
11	APLG Gdansk (W)	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
12	Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)	2	0	0	2	2	7	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Slask Wroclaw (W)	APLG Gdansk (W)
UKS SMS Lodz (W)	1-1 D	0-6 L
AZS UJ Krakow (W)	1-2 L	1-2 L
Pogon Tczew (W)	0-2 L	2-0 W
GKS Katowice (W)	1-2 L	0-3 L
Lech Poznan UAM (W)	3-3 D	2-1 W
Stomilanki Olsztyn (W)	6-1 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Slask Wroclaw (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Slask Wroclaw (W)

WDDLLLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	UKS SMS Lodz (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
02/08	AZS UJ Krakow (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-0	1-2	3	3	L
25/07	Sparta Prague (W) Women’s Friendly	0-0	3-2	5	1	W
30/05	Pogon Szczecin (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-1	0-1	2	7	L
23/05	Czarni Sosnowiec (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-1	1-2	0	5	L
16/05	Pogon Tczew (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
09/05	GKS Katowice (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-1	1-2	5	4	L
02/05	Lech Poznan UAM (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	2-0	3-3	3	2	D
25/04	AZS UJ Krakow (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	1-1	2-2	4	3	D
04/04	Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	1-1	6-1	3	1	W

APLG Gdansk (W)

LWLLLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	AZS UJ Krakow (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	–	1-2	–	–	L
02/08	Gornik Leczna (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-0	0-2	4	1	L
18/07	Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) Women’s Friendly	2-0	3-0	5	2	W
30/05	GKS Katowice (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
24/05	Lech Poznan UAM (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	1-0	2-1	0	0	W
09/05	AZS UJ Krakow (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-2	0-2	4	4	L
02/05	Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-2	1-3	5	1	L
25/04	Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
04/04	Pogon Tczew (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
29/03	UKS SMS Lodz (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-4	0-6	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Slask Wroclaw (W) vs APLG Gdansk (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Slask Wroclaw (W) win (52%). Probabilities: Slask Wroclaw (W) 52%, draw 24%, APLG Gdansk (W) 24%.

How many goals are expected in Slask Wroclaw (W) vs APLG Gdansk (W)?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Slask Wroclaw (W) 1.88 · APLG Gdansk (W) 1.23), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Slask Wroclaw (W) vs APLG Gdansk (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.