Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 22/08, 23:15
Prediction: Club Aurora vs Real Potosi
Team pages: Club Aurora · Real Potosi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Club Aurora1.62
Real Potosi0.93
1X2
Club Aurora
Draw
Real Potosi
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Club Aurora
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Real Potosi
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Club Aurora
2–3–1
Real Potosi
(6 last)
- Real Potosi0-0Club Aurora
- Club Aurora5-0Real Potosi
- Real Potosi1-1Club Aurora
- Real Potosi2-1Club Aurora
- Club Aurora4-0Real Potosi
- Club Aurora0-0Real Potosi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club Aurora 1509 · Real Potosi 1573
| Club Aurora | Draw | Real Potosi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 27% | 21% |
| Market | 53% | 25% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.55 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Potosi (rating 1509 vs 1573).
- H2H favours Club Aurora: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Aurora | Real Potosi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.7 | 1.7 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.9 | 2.4 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.7 | 4.1 / 0.9 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Aurora 2–3–1 Real Potosi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Bolivia Primera Division | Real Potosi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Club Aurora |
| 24/08/21 Bolivia Apertura | Club Aurora | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Real Potosi |
| 16/03/21 Bolivia Apertura | Real Potosi | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Club Aurora |
| 01/12/20 Bolivia Apertura | Real Potosi | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Club Aurora |
| 22/01/20 Bolivia Apertura | Club Aurora | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Real Potosi |
| 18/12/19 Bolivia Clausura | Club Aurora | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Real Potosi |
Standings · Bolivia Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Always Ready | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 32 | 9 | 34 |
| 2 | Bolivar | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 16 | 30 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 20 | 30 |
| 4 | Oriente Petrolero | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 29 | 20 | 26 |
| 5 | Real Potosi | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 24 |
| 6 | Guabira | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 27 | 24 |
| 7 | Club Aurora | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 22 | 22 |
| 8 | Independiente Petrolero | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 22 |
| 9 | Blooming | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 21 |
| 10 | Nacional Potosi | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 18 |
| 11 | Real Oruro | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 38 | 17 |
| 12 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 17 |
| 13 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 31 | 16 |
| 14 | GV San Jose | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 12 |
| 15 | Real Tomayapo | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 12 |
| 16 | Universitario De Vinto | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 35 | 11 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club Aurora | Real Potosi |
|---|---|---|
| Blooming | 0-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Bolivar | 2-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Independiente Petrolero | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| The Strongest | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Nacional Potosi | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Universitario De Vinto | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Real Potosi (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club Aurora
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Blooming Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 9 | L |
| 09/08 | Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 05/08 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 6 | D |
| 31/07 | The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 25/07 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 19/07 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 10/07 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 02/06 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 16/05 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 13/05 | Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
Real Potosi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | Blooming Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 06/08 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 26/07 | Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/07 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/07 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 12/07 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 09/07 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club Aurora vs Real Potosi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Aurora win (53%). Probabilities: Club Aurora 53%, draw 26%, Real Potosi 21%.
How many goals are expected in Club Aurora vs Real Potosi?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Club Aurora 1.62 · Real Potosi 0.93), with a 60% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Club Aurora vs Real Potosi?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.