Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 25/08, 21:00

Prediction: GV San Jose vs Oriente Petrolero

Team pages: GV San Jose · Oriente Petrolero

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

GV San Jose1.8

Oriente Petrolero1.26

1X2

49% 25% 26%

GV San Jose Draw Oriente Petrolero

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

GV San Jose 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

WLDDWDDLLD

Oriente Petrolero 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLLDWWLWWW

Head-to-head

GV San Jose 3–3 Oriente Petrolero (6 last)

Oriente Petrolero2-1GV San Jose
Oriente Petrolero0-2GV San Jose
GV San Jose6-0Oriente Petrolero
Oriente Petrolero4-0GV San Jose
GV San Jose5-1Oriente Petrolero
Oriente Petrolero4-2GV San Jose

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · GV San Jose 1487 · Oriente Petrolero 1519

	GV San Jose	Draw	Oriente Petrolero
Our model	49%	25%	26%
Market	49%	24%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	GV San Jose	Oriente Petrolero
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.3	2.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.8	1.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 5.2	2.4 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	5.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.75

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
18:04 +6’	1.85	3.75	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · GV San Jose 3–0–3 Oriente Petrolero

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/04/26 Bolivia Primera Division	Oriente Petrolero	2-1 HT 0-1	GV San Jose
06/12/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Oriente Petrolero	0-2 HT 0-0	GV San Jose
26/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	GV San Jose	6-0 HT 4-0	Oriente Petrolero
12/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Oriente Petrolero	4-0 HT 2-0	GV San Jose
06/07/25 Bolivia Primera Division	GV San Jose	5-1 HT 3-0	Oriente Petrolero
02/12/24 Bolivia Clausura	Oriente Petrolero	4-2 HT 2-1	GV San Jose

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Always Ready	16	10	5	1	33	10	35
2	Bolivar	16	10	3	3	40	18	33
3	The Strongest	16	8	6	2	26	20	30
4	Oriente Petrolero	16	8	2	6	29	20	26
5	Real Potosi	16	6	7	3	22	11	25
6	Guabira	16	7	4	5	27	28	25
7	Club Aurora	16	5	8	3	23	22	23
8	Blooming	16	5	7	4	21	17	22
9	Independiente Petrolero	16	6	4	6	22	24	22
10	Nacional Potosi	16	6	3	7	25	21	21
11	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	16	5	2	9	26	33	17
12	Real Oruro	16	5	2	9	29	42	17
13	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	16	5	2	9	18	32	17
14	GV San Jose	16	2	7	7	16	24	13
15	Real Tomayapo	16	3	4	9	12	32	13
16	Universitario De Vinto	16	3	2	11	20	35	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	GV San Jose	Oriente Petrolero
Independiente Petrolero	0-1 L	2-1 W
San Antonio Bulo Bulo	0-0 D	4-0 W
Universitario De Vinto	2-1 W	5-0 W
The Strongest	0-0 D	1-2 L
Blooming	1-1 D	0-1 L
Real Oruro	1-3 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Oriente Petrolero (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

GV San Jose

WLDDWDDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	2-2	6	6	D
17/08	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
09/08	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	2-3	6	5	L
05/08	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
02/08	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
27/07	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	2-1	2	4	W
19/07	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
15/07	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	2	8	D
11/07	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-3	5	9	L
08/07	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	3-2	15	2	W

Oriente Petrolero

DLLDWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	4-0	3	5	W
15/08	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	3-2	3-2	7	4	W
10/08	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	5-0	6	3	W
06/08	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	4	5	L
03/08	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
26/07	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
19/07	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-2	1	5	D
16/07	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	3	7	L
31/05	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-1	7	8	L
15/05	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-2	2	10	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in GV San Jose vs Oriente Petrolero?

According to our model, the most likely result is a GV San Jose win (49%). Probabilities: GV San Jose 49%, draw 25%, Oriente Petrolero 26%.

How many goals are expected in GV San Jose vs Oriente Petrolero?

The model expects 3.06 goals (GV San Jose 1.8 · Oriente Petrolero 1.26), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in GV San Jose vs Oriente Petrolero?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.