Football · Japan J2-League · 08/08, 07:45
Prediction: Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Tokushima Vortis
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.33Total
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo1.7
Tokushima Vortis1.63
1X2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Draw
Tokushima Vortis
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Tokushima Vortis
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
5–1
Tokushima Vortis
(6 last)
- Tokushima Vortis1-2Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
- Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo1-0Tokushima Vortis
- Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo1-0Tokushima Vortis
- Tokushima Vortis1-2Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
- Tokushima Vortis2-1Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
- Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo1-0Tokushima Vortis
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1575 · Tokushima Vortis 1476
| Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | Draw | Tokushima Vortis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 25% | 36% |
| Market | 37% | 29% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +1.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo (rating 1575 vs 1476).
- H2H favours Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | Tokushima Vortis | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.2 | 1.5 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0.1 | 2.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 5–0–1 Tokushima Vortis
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/25 Japan J2-League | Tokushima Vortis | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo |
| 05/04/25 Japan J2-League | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tokushima Vortis |
| 04/07/21 Japan J-League | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tokushima Vortis |
| 09/05/21 Japan J-League | Tokushima Vortis | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo |
| 06/11/16 Japan J2-League | Tokushima Vortis | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo |
| 29/04/16 Japan J2-League | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Tokushima Vortis |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albirex Niigata | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Blaublitz Akita | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Imabari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fujieda MYFC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Iwaki FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Jubilo Iwata | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kataller Toyama | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Montedio Yamagata | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Oita | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Omiya Ardija | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sagan Tosu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Shonan Bellmare | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tochigi City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tokushima Vortis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ventforet Kofu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Yokohama FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | Tokushima Vortis |
|---|---|---|
| Albirex Niigata | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Iwaki FC | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 31/05 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Fukushima Utd Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
3-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 06/05 | Parceiro Nagano Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | FC Gifu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Iwaki FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Matsumoto Y FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
Tokushima Vortis
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | Iwaki FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Sagan Tosu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | FC Imabari Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Nara Club Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 06/05 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Ehime FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-2 | 0-6 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 29/04 | FC Osaka Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Kochi United Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Tokushima Vortis?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo win (38%). Probabilities: Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 38%, draw 27%, Tokushima Vortis 35%.
How many goals are expected in Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Tokushima Vortis?
The model expects 3.33 goals (Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1.7 · Tokushima Vortis 1.63), with a 60% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Tokushima Vortis?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.