Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 19/09, 15:30
Prediction: Bratstvo Gracanica vs HNK Tomislav
Team pages: Bratstvo Gracanica · HNK Tomislav
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Bratstvo Gracanica1.76
HNK Tomislav0.81
1X2
Bratstvo Gracanica
Draw
HNK Tomislav
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Bratstvo Gracanica
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
HNK Tomislav
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bratstvo Gracanica
2–2–2
HNK Tomislav
(6 last)
- Bratstvo Gracanica2-2HNK Tomislav
- HNK Tomislav0-0Bratstvo Gracanica
- HNK Tomislav2-0Bratstvo Gracanica
- Bratstvo Gracanica3-2HNK Tomislav
- Bratstvo Gracanica2-0HNK Tomislav
- HNK Tomislav2-1Bratstvo Gracanica
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bratstvo Gracanica 1526 · HNK Tomislav 1458
| Bratstvo Gracanica | Draw | HNK Tomislav | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 25% | 16% |
| Market | 59% | 25% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bratstvo Gracanica (rating 1526 vs 1458).
- High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bratstvo Gracanica | HNK Tomislav | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 1.6 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/63/13% | 50/0/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5.3 | 3.5 / 7.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.3 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bratstvo Gracanica 2–2–2 HNK Tomislav
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Bratstvo Gracanica | 2-2 | HNK Tomislav |
| 11/10/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | HNK Tomislav | 0-0 | Bratstvo Gracanica |
| 15/03/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | HNK Tomislav | 2-0 | Bratstvo Gracanica |
| 24/08/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Bratstvo Gracanica | 3-2 | HNK Tomislav |
| 04/05/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Bratstvo Gracanica | 2-0 | HNK Tomislav |
| 07/10/23 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | HNK Tomislav | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Bratstvo Gracanica |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Laktasi | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
| 2 | Leotar | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Romanija Pale | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 4 | FK Drina Zvornik | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | FK Majevica Lopare | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | FK Kozara Gradiska | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | FK Potkozarje | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| 8 | FK Rudar Prijedor | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 5 |
| 9 | Slavija Sarajevo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 5 |
| 10 | FC Velez Nevesinje | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 5 |
| 11 | Sutjeska Foca | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | FK Famos Vojkovici | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 13 | Zvijezda 09 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
| 14 | FK Omarska | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bratstvo Gracanica | HNK Tomislav |
|---|---|---|
| NK Vitez | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| Jedinstvo | 2-2 D | 0-4 L |
| NK Stupcanica Olovo | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Sloboda Tuzla | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Bratstvo Gracanica (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bratstvo Gracanica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | NK Vitez Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | Rudar Kakanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 29/08 | HNK Capljina Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | FK Igman Konjic Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 07/06 | Jedinstvo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 10 | D |
| 30/05 | NK Stupcanica Olovo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | FK Igman Konjic Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | Buducnost Banovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 09/05 | Sloboda Tuzla Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | HNK Tomislav Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
HNK Tomislav
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | NK Stupcanica Olovo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | Jedinstvo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | NK Travnik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 23/08 | Sloboda Tuzla Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | GOSK Gabela Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | FK Tuzla City Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | NK Tosk Tesanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | NK Vitez Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Jedinstvo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | NK Stupcanica Olovo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bratstvo Gracanica vs HNK Tomislav?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bratstvo Gracanica win (59%). Probabilities: Bratstvo Gracanica 59%, draw 25%, HNK Tomislav 16%.
How many goals are expected in Bratstvo Gracanica vs HNK Tomislav?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Bratstvo Gracanica 1.76 · HNK Tomislav 0.81), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Bratstvo Gracanica vs HNK Tomislav?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.