Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 17/10, 14:30
Prediction: NK Vitez vs HNK Tomislav
Team pages: NK Vitez · HNK Tomislav
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
NK Vitez1.76
HNK Tomislav0.93
1X2
NK Vitez
Draw
HNK Tomislav
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
NK Vitez
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
HNK Tomislav
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
NK Vitez
0–1–1
HNK Tomislav
(2 last)
- HNK Tomislav3-0NK Vitez
- NK Vitez0-0HNK Tomislav
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · NK Vitez 1439 · HNK Tomislav 1467
| NK Vitez | Draw | HNK Tomislav | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 26% | 18% |
| Market | 57% | 24% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| NK Vitez | HNK Tomislav | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 17/50/33% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.5 / 6.3 | 3 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.3 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Vitez 0–1–1 HNK Tomislav
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | HNK Tomislav | 3-0 | NK Vitez |
| 02/11/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | NK Vitez | 0-0 HT 0-0 | HNK Tomislav |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leotar | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 5 | 26 |
| 2 | FK Laktasi | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 6 | 25 |
| 3 | FK Majevica Lopare | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 18 |
| 4 | FK Potkozarje | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
| 5 | FK Kozara Gradiska | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | FK Drina Zvornik | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | FK Famos Vojkovici | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 13 |
| 8 | FK Rudar Prijedor | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 12 |
| 9 | Romanija Pale | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 12 |
| 10 | FC Velez Nevesinje | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 11 |
| 11 | Slavija Sarajevo | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 10 |
| 12 | Sutjeska Foca | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 8 |
| 13 | Zvijezda 09 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 7 |
| 14 | FK Omarska | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 5 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | NK Vitez | HNK Tomislav |
|---|---|---|
| Rudar Kakanj | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| HNK Capljina | 1-0 W | 2-4 L |
| FK Igman Konjic | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Bratstvo Gracanica | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| NK Stupcanica Olovo | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Jedinstvo | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| NK Travnik | 0-2 L | 2-4 L |
| Sloboda Tuzla | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 4 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
NK Vitez
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/10 | Rudar Kakanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/09 | HNK Capljina Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 8 | W |
| 19/09 | FK Igman Konjic Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | Bratstvo Gracanica Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | NK Stupcanica Olovo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Jedinstvo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 11 | D |
| 23/08 | NK Travnik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/08 | Sloboda Tuzla Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | Buducnost Banovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
HNK Tomislav
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Rudar Kakanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/10 | HNK Capljina Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 27/09 | FK Igman Konjic Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 19/09 | Bratstvo Gracanica Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 12/09 | NK Stupcanica Olovo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | Jedinstvo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | NK Travnik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 23/08 | Sloboda Tuzla Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | GOSK Gabela Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | FK Tuzla City Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in NK Vitez vs HNK Tomislav?
According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Vitez win (56%). Probabilities: NK Vitez 56%, draw 25%, HNK Tomislav 19%.
How many goals are expected in NK Vitez vs HNK Tomislav?
The model expects 2.69 goals (NK Vitez 1.76 · HNK Tomislav 0.93), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in NK Vitez vs HNK Tomislav?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.