Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 24/10, 14:30

Prediction: Sloboda Tuzla vs NK Stupcanica Olovo

Team pages: Sloboda Tuzla · NK Stupcanica Olovo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.49Total

Sloboda Tuzla1.31

NK Stupcanica Olovo1.19

1X2

39% 29% 33%

Sloboda Tuzla Draw NK Stupcanica Olovo

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Sloboda Tuzla 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWDWWLWD

NK Stupcanica Olovo 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWLDWD

Head-to-head

Sloboda Tuzla 2–1–1 NK Stupcanica Olovo (4 last)

NK Stupcanica Olovo1-1Sloboda Tuzla
Sloboda Tuzla0-1NK Stupcanica Olovo
NK Stupcanica Olovo0-1Sloboda Tuzla
Sloboda Tuzla1-0NK Stupcanica Olovo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sloboda Tuzla 1536 · NK Stupcanica Olovo 1559

	Sloboda Tuzla	Draw	NK Stupcanica Olovo
Our model	38%	30%	32%
Market	39%	28%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sloboda Tuzla: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sloboda Tuzla	NK Stupcanica Olovo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.8	2.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.2	1.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	67/33/0%	63/25/13%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.2	1.6 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0	5.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.25

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
09:08 +3’	2.30	3.25	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sloboda Tuzla 2–1–1 NK Stupcanica Olovo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	NK Stupcanica Olovo	1-1 HT 0-0	Sloboda Tuzla
26/10/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	Sloboda Tuzla	0-1 HT 0-0	NK Stupcanica Olovo
14/04/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	NK Stupcanica Olovo	0-1	Sloboda Tuzla
16/09/23 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	Sloboda Tuzla	1-0 HT 1-0	NK Stupcanica Olovo

Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Leotar	12	10	2	0	31	5	32
2	FK Laktasi	12	9	1	2	31	9	28
3	FK Potkozarje	12	6	2	4	14	12	20
4	FK Majevica Lopare	11	5	4	2	21	13	19
5	FK Drina Zvornik	12	5	3	4	23	11	18
6	FK Kozara Gradiska	12	4	4	4	11	12	16
7	FK Famos Vojkovici	12	5	1	6	15	20	16
8	FK Rudar Prijedor	12	4	3	5	17	21	15
9	Romanija Pale	12	5	0	7	17	26	15
10	Slavija Sarajevo	12	3	5	4	12	17	14
11	Sutjeska Foca	11	3	2	6	7	13	11
12	FC Velez Nevesinje	12	3	2	7	10	26	11
13	FK Omarska	12	2	3	7	8	19	9
14	Zvijezda 09	12	2	2	8	10	23	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sloboda Tuzla	NK Stupcanica Olovo
GOSK Gabela	2-0 W	1-1 D
FK Radnik Hadzici	3-0 W	3-1 W
NK Zvijezda Gradacac	1-1 D	1-1 D
NK Tosk Tesanj	4-2 W	0-2 L
Buducnost Banovici	2-3 L	4-1 W
HNK Tomislav	3-0 W	1-2 L
NK Vitez	0-0 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sloboda Tuzla (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sloboda Tuzla

DWLWDWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Jedinstvo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	0-0	–	–	D
10/10	NK Travnik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-0	2-0	2	7	W
03/10	HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
27/09	GOSK Gabela Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	2-0	1	3	W
19/09	FK Radnik Hadzici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	3-0	3-0	6	5	W
12/09	NK Zvijezda Gradacac Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-0	1-1	6	7	D
05/09	NK Tosk Tesanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	2-1	4-2	4	5	W
30/08	Buducnost Banovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	2-1	2-3	5	5	L
23/08	HNK Tomislav Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-0	3-0	6	3	W
16/08	NK Vitez Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	0-0	4	5	D

NK Stupcanica Olovo

WWWWLWLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	GOSK Gabela Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	1-1	4	9	D
10/10	FK Radnik Hadzici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	2-0	3-1	0	3	W
03/10	NK Zvijezda Gradacac Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-1	–	–	D
27/09	NK Tosk Tesanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
20/09	Buducnost Banovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-1	4-1	8	2	W
12/09	HNK Tomislav Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-2	–	–	L
06/09	NK Vitez Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	3-1	3-1	2	6	W
29/08	Rudar Kakanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-0	2-0	2	8	W
26/08	FK Igman Konjic Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-0	3-0	3	5	W
23/08	HNK Capljina Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	2-0	5-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sloboda Tuzla vs NK Stupcanica Olovo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sloboda Tuzla win (39%). Probabilities: Sloboda Tuzla 39%, draw 29%, NK Stupcanica Olovo 33%.

How many goals are expected in Sloboda Tuzla vs NK Stupcanica Olovo?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Sloboda Tuzla 1.31 · NK Stupcanica Olovo 1.19), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sloboda Tuzla vs NK Stupcanica Olovo?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.