Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 25/10, 13:30
Prediction: NK Tosk Tesanj vs Rudar Kakanj
Team pages: NK Tosk Tesanj
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
NK Tosk Tesanj1.75
Rudar Kakanj0.73
1X2
NK Tosk Tesanj
Draw
Rudar Kakanj
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
NK Tosk Tesanj
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Rudar Kakanj
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
NK Tosk Tesanj
3–3
Rudar Kakanj
(6 last)
- NK Tosk Tesanj2-0Rudar Kakanj
- Rudar Kakanj2-0NK Tosk Tesanj
- Rudar Kakanj2-1NK Tosk Tesanj
- NK Tosk Tesanj2-0Rudar Kakanj
- Rudar Kakanj3-1NK Tosk Tesanj
- NK Tosk Tesanj1-0Rudar Kakanj
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · NK Tosk Tesanj 1509 · Rudar Kakanj 1454
| NK Tosk Tesanj | Draw | Rudar Kakanj | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 25% | 14% |
| Market | 62% | 22% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Tosk Tesanj (rating 1509 vs 1454).
- Cards-heavy: 13 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| NK Tosk Tesanj | Rudar Kakanj | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 0.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/43/29% | 0/80/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.6 | 0.8 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.6 | 7.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Tosk Tesanj 3–0–3 Rudar Kakanj
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | NK Tosk Tesanj | 2-0 | Rudar Kakanj |
| 28/10/23 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Rudar Kakanj | 2-0 | NK Tosk Tesanj |
| 11/03/23 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Rudar Kakanj | 2-1 HT 0-1 | NK Tosk Tesanj |
| 21/08/22 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | NK Tosk Tesanj | 2-0 | Rudar Kakanj |
| 14/05/22 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Rudar Kakanj | 3-1 | NK Tosk Tesanj |
| 24/10/21 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | NK Tosk Tesanj | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Rudar Kakanj |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leotar | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 33 |
| 2 | FK Laktasi | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 39 | 10 | 31 |
| 3 | FK Drina Zvornik | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | FK Kozara Gradiska | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | FK Potkozarje | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 20 |
| 6 | FK Majevica Lopare | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 19 |
| 7 | Romanija Pale | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 26 | 18 |
| 8 | FK Famos Vojkovici | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 20 | 16 |
| 9 | FK Rudar Prijedor | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 15 |
| 10 | Slavija Sarajevo | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 14 |
| 11 | Sutjeska Foca | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 11 |
| 12 | FC Velez Nevesinje | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 11 |
| 13 | FK Omarska | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 9 |
| 14 | Zvijezda 09 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | NK Tosk Tesanj | Rudar Kakanj |
|---|---|---|
| HNK Capljina | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| FK Igman Konjic | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Bratstvo Gracanica | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| NK Stupcanica Olovo | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Jedinstvo | 1-0 W | 0-5 L |
| NK Travnik | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: NK Tosk Tesanj (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
NK Tosk Tesanj
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | HNK Capljina Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 11/10 | FK Igman Konjic Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/10 | Bratstvo Gracanica Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | NK Stupcanica Olovo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Jedinstvo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | NK Travnik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 05/09 | Sloboda Tuzla Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | GOSK Gabela Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | FK Radnik Hadzici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | NK Zvijezda Gradacac Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
Rudar Kakanj
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Buducnost Banovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 10/10 | HNK Tomislav Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 03/10 | NK Vitez Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/09 | HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/09 | HNK Capljina Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | FK Igman Konjic Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Bratstvo Gracanica Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 29/08 | NK Stupcanica Olovo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 22/08 | Jedinstvo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 16/08 | NK Travnik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in NK Tosk Tesanj vs Rudar Kakanj?
According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Tosk Tesanj win (61%). Probabilities: NK Tosk Tesanj 61%, draw 24%, Rudar Kakanj 15%.
How many goals are expected in NK Tosk Tesanj vs Rudar Kakanj?
The model expects 2.48 goals (NK Tosk Tesanj 1.75 · Rudar Kakanj 0.73), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in NK Tosk Tesanj vs Rudar Kakanj?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.