Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 24/10, 14:00

Prediction: FK Kozara Gradiska vs Zvijezda 09

Team pages: FK Kozara Gradiska · Zvijezda 09

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

FK Kozara Gradiska2.09

Zvijezda 090.79

1X2

67% 21% 12%

FK Kozara Gradiska Draw Zvijezda 09

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Kozara Gradiska 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWLWDWLDLL

Zvijezda 09 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLDWLD

Head-to-head

FK Kozara Gradiska 1–3–2 Zvijezda 09 (6 last)

FK Kozara Gradiska3-0Zvijezda 09
Zvijezda 091-1FK Kozara Gradiska
FK Kozara Gradiska2-2Zvijezda 09
Zvijezda 091-0FK Kozara Gradiska
FK Kozara Gradiska0-3Zvijezda 09
Zvijezda 091-1FK Kozara Gradiska

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Kozara Gradiska 1494 · Zvijezda 09 1420

	FK Kozara Gradiska	Draw	Zvijezda 09
Our model	67%	21%	12%
Market	67%	20%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Kozara Gradiska (rating 1494 vs 1420).
H2H favours Zvijezda 09: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Kozara Gradiska	Zvijezda 09
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.1	0.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.2	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	17/83/0%	29/43/29%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.7	1.7 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.2	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.33

X4.50

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
09:08 +3’	1.33	4.50	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Kozara Gradiska 1–3–2 Zvijezda 09

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/11/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	FK Kozara Gradiska	3-0 HT 2-0	Zvijezda 09
23/08/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	Zvijezda 09	1-1 HT 1-1	FK Kozara Gradiska
12/04/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	FK Kozara Gradiska	2-2	Zvijezda 09
21/09/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	Zvijezda 09	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Kozara Gradiska
18/03/23 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	FK Kozara Gradiska	0-3	Zvijezda 09
13/08/22 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	Zvijezda 09	1-1 HT 1-0	FK Kozara Gradiska

Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Leotar	12	10	2	0	31	5	32
2	FK Laktasi	12	9	1	2	31	9	28
3	FK Potkozarje	12	6	2	4	14	12	20
4	FK Majevica Lopare	11	5	4	2	21	13	19
5	FK Drina Zvornik	12	5	3	4	23	11	18
6	FK Kozara Gradiska	12	4	4	4	11	12	16
7	FK Famos Vojkovici	12	5	1	6	15	20	16
8	FK Rudar Prijedor	12	4	3	5	17	21	15
9	Romanija Pale	12	5	0	7	17	26	15
10	Slavija Sarajevo	12	3	5	4	12	17	14
11	Sutjeska Foca	11	3	2	6	7	13	11
12	FC Velez Nevesinje	12	3	2	7	10	26	11
13	FK Omarska	12	2	3	7	8	19	9
14	Zvijezda 09	12	2	2	8	10	23	8

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Kozara Gradiska	Zvijezda 09
FK Omarska	0-1 L	1-1 D
FK Rudar Prijedor	2-2 D	0-1 L
FK Drina Zvornik	0-1 L	2-1 W
Sutjeska Foca	1-0 W	0-0 D
Slavija Sarajevo	0-0 D	1-2 L
FC Velez Nevesinje	1-0 W	1-2 L
Leotar	0-3 L	1-4 L
Romanija Pale	3-0 W	0-2 L
FK Majevica Lopare	0-0 D	1-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: FK Kozara Gradiska (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Kozara Gradiska

DWLWDWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/10	FK Laktasi Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-1	2-4	4	3	L
18/10	FK Omarska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
11/10	FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-0	2-2	4	6	D
03/10	FK Drina Zvornik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	0-1	2	8	L
26/09	Sutjeska Foca Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-0	–	–	W
23/09	Slavija Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
19/09	FC Velez Nevesinje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-0	–	–	W
12/09	Leotar Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	0-3	–	–	L
05/09	Romanija Pale Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	3-0	–	–	W
02/09	FK Majevica Lopare Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	0-0	1	3	D

Zvijezda 09

LLLLLLDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/10	FK Omarska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
17/10	FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
10/10	FK Drina Zvornik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
03/10	Sutjeska Foca Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	0-0	–	–	D
26/09	Slavija Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-1	1-2	12	3	L
23/09	FC Velez Nevesinje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-2	–	–	L
19/09	Leotar Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-2	1-4	2	1	L
11/09	Romanija Pale Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	0-2	2	5	L
05/09	FK Majevica Lopare Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	1-4	1	5	L
02/09	FK Potkozarje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	2-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Kozara Gradiska vs Zvijezda 09?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Kozara Gradiska win (67%). Probabilities: FK Kozara Gradiska 67%, draw 21%, Zvijezda 09 12%.

How many goals are expected in FK Kozara Gradiska vs Zvijezda 09?

The model expects 2.88 goals (FK Kozara Gradiska 2.09 · Zvijezda 09 0.79), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Kozara Gradiska vs Zvijezda 09?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.