Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 08/08, 01:00
Prediction: Inter Miami CF II vs Crown Legacy
Team pages: Inter Miami CF II · Crown Legacy
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.32Total
Inter Miami CF II1.18
Crown Legacy2.14
1X2
Inter Miami CF II
Draw
Crown Legacy
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Inter Miami CF II
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Crown Legacy
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Inter Miami CF II
0–6
Crown Legacy
(6 last)
- Inter Miami CF II1-5Crown Legacy
- Crown Legacy3-0Inter Miami CF II
- Crown Legacy6-0Inter Miami CF II
- Inter Miami CF II3-4Crown Legacy
- Crown Legacy4-2Inter Miami CF II
- Inter Miami CF II2-5Crown Legacy
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Inter Miami CF II 1397 · Crown Legacy 1561
| Inter Miami CF II | Draw | Crown Legacy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 22% | 58% |
| Market | 21% | 20% | 60% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Crown Legacy (rating 1397 vs 1561).
- H2H favours Crown Legacy: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Inter Miami CF II | Crown Legacy | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 2.4 | 2.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/30/70% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.7 | 2.9 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.8 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Inter Miami CF II 0–0–6 Crown Legacy
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Inter Miami CF II | 1-5 HT 0-4 | Crown Legacy |
| 16/03/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Crown Legacy | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Inter Miami CF II |
| 23/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Crown Legacy | 6-0 HT 1-0 | Inter Miami CF II |
| 14/07/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Inter Miami CF II | 3-4 HT 1-3 | Crown Legacy |
| 10/05/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Crown Legacy | 4-2 HT 3-2 | Inter Miami CF II |
| 29/09/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Inter Miami CF II | 2-5 HT 1-3 | Crown Legacy |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 50 | 28 | 43 |
| 2 | Chattanooga FC | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 30 | 40 |
| 3 | New England Revolution II | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 23 | 39 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew II | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 31 | 39 |
| 5 | Orlando City II | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 42 | 38 | 35 |
| 6 | Atlanta United II | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 33 | 34 |
| 7 | CT United | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 35 | 34 |
| 8 | Chicago Fire II | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 33 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls II | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 41 | 36 | 32 |
| 10 | New York City FC II | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 30 |
| 11 | Huntsville City | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 38 | 28 |
| 12 | Philadelphia Union II | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 28 | 27 |
| 13 | Toronto FC II | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 38 | 25 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 30 | 40 | 23 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 21 | 43 | 16 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 19 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 47 | 8 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Inter Miami CF II | Crown Legacy |
|---|---|---|
| Carolina Core FC | 0-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Atlanta United II | 1-4 L | 3-3 D |
| Chicago Fire II | 1-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Orlando City II | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Crown Legacy (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Inter Miami CF II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 23/07 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 29/06 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/05 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 18/05 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-4 | 1-5 | 6 | 7 | L |
Crown Legacy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 06/07 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 28/06 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 06/06 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 23/05 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 13 | 4 | D |
| 18/05 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
4-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Inter Miami CF II vs Crown Legacy?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Crown Legacy win (59%). Probabilities: Inter Miami CF II 20%, draw 21%, Crown Legacy 59%.
How many goals are expected in Inter Miami CF II vs Crown Legacy?
The model expects 3.32 goals (Inter Miami CF II 1.18 · Crown Legacy 2.14), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Inter Miami CF II vs Crown Legacy?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.