Football · Finland Kakkonen Group A · 15/08, 14:00

Prediction: HIFK 2 vs Atlantis

Team pages: HIFK 2 · Atlantis

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.51Total

HIFK 22.55

Atlantis1.97

1X2

50% 21% 29%

HIFK 2 Draw Atlantis

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

HIFK 2 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWWDLDDD

Atlantis 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWWLWWDW

Head-to-head

HIFK 2 0–2 Atlantis (2 last)

Atlantis3-2HIFK 2
Atlantis4-0HIFK 2

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HIFK 2 1528 · Atlantis 1553

	HIFK 2	Draw	Atlantis
Our model	50%	20%	30%
Market	50%	21%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 4.51 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Atlantis: 2-0-0.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HIFK 2	Atlantis
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.5	3.3 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	1.7 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.7	3 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.1 / 0.2	4.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.80

X4.20

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 4.52.00

Under 4.51.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 4.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 2.20▲	Bet365 2.20
X	4.20 → 4.00▼	Pinn 4.46 ★
2	3.10 → 2.40▼	Pinn 2.55

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
07:35 +2’	1.80	4.20	3.10
19:07 +10’	2.20▲	4.00▼	2.40▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:16 +1’	2.04	4.46	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · HIFK 2 0–0–2 Atlantis

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A	Atlantis	3-2 HT 2-2	HIFK 2
28/06/19 Finland Kolmonen	Atlantis	4-0 HT 1-0	HIFK 2

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kiffen	16	10	3	3	33	22	33
2	PEPO	16	9	4	3	29	21	31
3	HIFK 2	16	7	6	3	35	23	27
4	Atlantis	16	8	2	6	51	38	26
5	HPS	16	7	4	5	38	33	25
6	PPJ	17	5	8	4	30	25	23
7	Reipas	16	7	2	7	34	32	23
8	Puiu	16	4	4	8	24	33	16
9	MyPa	17	3	3	11	18	38	12
10	Union Plaani	16	2	2	12	15	42	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HIFK 2	Atlantis
Puiu	2-2 D	2-2 D
HPS	5-5 D	5-3 W
Kiffen	1-1 D	3-5 L
PPJ	1-2 L	3-3 D
Reipas	1-1 D	4-2 W
MyPa	4-0 W	2-1 W
Union Plaani	3-0 W	6-3 W
PEPO	2-1 W	5-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 4 D 1 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Atlantis (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HIFK 2

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	2-2	6	9	D
01/08	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	3-2	5-5	3	13	D
25/07	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	1-1	8	6	D
16/07	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	1-2	5	4	L
12/07	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
04/07	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	4-0	6	7	W
27/06	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
13/06	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	2-1	7	5	W
06/06	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-2	2-3	1	1	L
29/05	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	2-0	3	8	W

Atlantis

LWDWWLWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-1	4-2	3	4	W
01/08	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	2-2	11	8	D
25/07	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	3-1	5-3	10	3	W
18/07	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	4-1	6-3	5	3	W
10/07	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-3	3-5	5	4	L
04/07	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	3-0	5-1	2	5	W
27/06	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	2-1	8	6	W
11/06	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-3	3-3	7	5	D
06/06	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-2	3-2	4	1	W
31/05	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	0-1	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HIFK 2 vs Atlantis?

According to our model, the most likely result is a HIFK 2 win (50%). Probabilities: HIFK 2 50%, draw 21%, Atlantis 29%.

How many goals are expected in HIFK 2 vs Atlantis?

The model expects 4.51 goals (HIFK 2 2.55 · Atlantis 1.97), with a 53% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in HIFK 2 vs Atlantis?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.