Football · Finland Kakkonen Group A · 15/08, 16:00

Prediction: Puiu vs Kiffen

Team pages: Puiu · Kiffen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

Puiu1.37

Kiffen1.79

1X2

29% 24% 47%

Puiu Draw Kiffen

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Puiu 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLLWWLDD

Kiffen 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWDDW

Head-to-head

Puiu 0–1–1 Kiffen (2 last)

Kiffen2-0Puiu
Kiffen1-1Puiu

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Puiu 1468 · Kiffen 1593

	Puiu	Draw	Kiffen
Our model	28%	25%	46%
Market	29%	24%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kiffen (rating 1468 vs 1593).
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Puiu	Kiffen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.8	2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.6	1.2 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4.2	2.7 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0	4.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.75

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.20▲	Pinn 3.28 ★
X	3.75 → 3.80▲	Bet365 3.80
2	1.91 → 1.90▼	Bet365 1.90

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.2% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
07:32 +9’	3.10	3.75	1.91
19:39 +13’	3.20▲	3.80▲	1.90▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:52	3.28	3.70	1.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Puiu 0–1–1 Kiffen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/06/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A	Kiffen	2-0 HT 2-0	Puiu
15/04/26 Finland Cup	Kiffen	1-1 HT 0-0	Puiu

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kiffen	16	10	3	3	33	22	33
2	PEPO	16	9	4	3	29	21	31
3	HIFK 2	16	7	6	3	35	23	27
4	Atlantis	16	8	2	6	51	38	26
5	HPS	16	7	4	5	38	33	25
6	PPJ	17	5	8	4	30	25	23
7	Reipas	16	7	2	7	34	32	23
8	Puiu	16	4	4	8	24	33	16
9	MyPa	17	3	3	11	18	38	12
10	Union Plaani	16	2	2	12	15	42	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Puiu	Kiffen
HIFK 2	2-2 D	1-1 D
Atlantis	2-2 D	5-3 W
PEPO	2-3 L	2-0 W
Reipas	4-1 W	3-2 W
PPJ	4-1 W	2-1 W
Union Plaani	1-2 L	1-0 W
HPS	0-2 L	2-1 W
MyPa	1-1 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	6 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Kiffen (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Puiu

LLDLLWWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	2-2	3	9	D
01/08	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	2-2	0	8	D
24/07	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-1	2-3	2	5	L
18/07	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	4-1	4-1	3	3	W
11/07	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-0	4-1	5	4	W
04/07	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	1-2	7	4	L
27/06	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	0-2	8	3	L
13/06	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
08/06	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-2	0-2	6	5	L
29/05	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	0-2	2	8	L

Kiffen

WWWWWWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	1-0	9	5	W
01/08	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
25/07	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	1-1	8	6	D
18/07	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
10/07	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	3-0	5-3	2	4	W
02/07	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
27/06	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-1	3-2	5	4	W
12/06	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	2-1	8	5	W
08/06	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-0	2-0	8	5	W
29/05	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-0	2-0	8	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Puiu vs Kiffen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kiffen win (47%). Probabilities: Puiu 29%, draw 24%, Kiffen 47%.

How many goals are expected in Puiu vs Kiffen?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Puiu 1.37 · Kiffen 1.79), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Puiu vs Kiffen?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.