Football · Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women · 12/09, 21:30
Prediction: Benfica (W) vs Racing Power (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.27Total
Benfica (W)2.64
Racing Power (W)0.64
1X2
Benfica (W)
Draw
Racing Power (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Benfica (W)
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Racing Power (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Benfica (W)
5–1–0
Racing Power (W)
(6 last)
- Racing Power (W)0-5Benfica (W)
- Benfica (W)0-0Racing Power (W)
- Benfica (W)4-1Racing Power (W)
- Benfica (W)3-2Racing Power (W)
- Racing Power (W)0-2Benfica (W)
- Benfica (W)4-1Racing Power (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Benfica (W) 1649 · Racing Power (W) 1447
| Benfica (W) | Draw | Racing Power (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 79% | 15% | 6% |
| Market | 80% | 15% | 5% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Benfica (W) (rating 1649 vs 1447).
- H2H favours Benfica (W): 5-1-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Benfica (W) | Racing Power (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.7 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/20/0% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 7 | 1.3 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0.1 | 1.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Benfica (W) 5–1–0 Racing Power (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women | Racing Power (W) | 0-5 HT 0-4 | Benfica (W) |
| 14/09/25 Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women | Benfica (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Racing Power (W) |
| 29/03/25 Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women | Benfica (W) | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Racing Power (W) |
| 15/02/25 Portugal Cup Women | Benfica (W) | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Racing Power (W) |
| 09/11/24 Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women | Racing Power (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Benfica (W) |
| 19/05/24 Portugal Cup Women | Benfica (W) | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Racing Power (W) |
Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maritimo (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Porto (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Racing Power (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rio Ave (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Braga (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Torreense (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Benfica (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sporting (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Valadares Gaia FC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vitoria SC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Benfica (W) | Racing Power (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave (W) | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Sporting (W) | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Braga (W) | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Torreense (W) | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Maritimo (W) | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Valadares Gaia FC (W) | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| SF Damaiense (W) | 4-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Vitoria SC (W) | 5-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 7 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Benfica (W) (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Benfica (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | Rio Ave (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 01/05 | Sporting (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Braga (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 05/04 | Torreense (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 22/03 | Maritimo (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 14/03 | Valadares Gaia FC (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 22/02 | SF Damaiense (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 08/02 | Vitoria SC (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 25/01 | Racing Power (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
4-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 10/01 | Rio Ave (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
Racing Power (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | Sporting (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 03/05 | Braga (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Torreense (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/04 | Maritimo (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 21/03 | Valadares Gaia FC (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/03 | SF Damaiense (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 21/02 | Vitoria SC (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 08/02 | Rio Ave (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/01 | Benfica (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-4 | 0-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 11/01 | Sporting (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Benfica (W) vs Racing Power (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Benfica (W) win (80%). Probabilities: Benfica (W) 80%, draw 15%, Racing Power (W) 6%.
How many goals are expected in Benfica (W) vs Racing Power (W)?
The model expects 3.27 goals (Benfica (W) 2.64 · Racing Power (W) 0.64), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Benfica (W) vs Racing Power (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.