Football · Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women · 19/09, 12:00
Prediction: Vitoria SC (W) vs Torreense (W)
Team pages: Vitoria SC (W) · Torreense (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.35Total
Vitoria SC (W)0.69
Torreense (W)1.66
1X2
Vitoria SC (W)
Draw
Torreense (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Vitoria SC (W)
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Torreense (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vitoria SC (W)
0–1–2
Torreense (W)
(3 last)
- Vitoria SC (W)0-0Torreense (W)
- Torreense (W)2-1Vitoria SC (W)
- Torreense (W)2-0Vitoria SC (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vitoria SC (W) 1449 · Torreense (W) 1597
| Vitoria SC (W) | Draw | Torreense (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 14% | 26% | 60% |
| Market | 16% | 23% | 61% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Torreense (W) (rating 1449 vs 1597).
- H2H favours Torreense (W): 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vitoria SC (W) | Torreense (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/70/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3.4 | 3 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 2.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vitoria SC (W) 0–1–2 Torreense (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women | Vitoria SC (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Torreense (W) |
| 20/12/25 Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women | Torreense (W) | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Vitoria SC (W) |
| 23/03/25 Portugal Cup Women | Torreense (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Vitoria SC (W) |
Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Braga (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Torreense (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Benfica (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | FC Porto (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Sporting (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Valadares Gaia FC (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 7 | Vitoria SC (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 8 | Racing Power (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 8 | Rio Ave (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | Maritimo (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vitoria SC (W) | Torreense (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting (W) | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Braga (W) | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Maritimo (W) | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Valadares Gaia FC (W) | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| SF Damaiense (W) | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Rio Ave (W) | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Racing Power (W) | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Benfica (W) | 1-5 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 4 L | 5 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Torreense (W) (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vitoria SC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Sporting (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | Braga (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Torreense (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Maritimo (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | Valadares Gaia FC (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 28/03 | SF Damaiense (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 13/03 | Rio Ave (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 21/02 | Racing Power (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 08/02 | Benfica (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-2 | 1-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 24/01 | Sporting (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
Torreense (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Rio Ave (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 10/05 | SF Damaiense (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Vitoria SC (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 26/04 | Racing Power (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | Benfica (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 22/03 | Sporting (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 14/03 | Braga (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 21/02 | Rio Ave (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/02 | Maritimo (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 24/01 | Valadares Gaia FC (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vitoria SC (W) vs Torreense (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Torreense (W) win (60%). Probabilities: Vitoria SC (W) 15%, draw 25%, Torreense (W) 60%.
How many goals are expected in Vitoria SC (W) vs Torreense (W)?
The model expects 2.35 goals (Vitoria SC (W) 0.69 · Torreense (W) 1.66), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Vitoria SC (W) vs Torreense (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.