Prediction: Rio Ave (W) vs Benfica (W)

Team pages: Rio Ave (W) · Benfica (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Rio Ave (W)0.43
Benfica (W)2.13
1X2
6% 16% 77%
Rio Ave (W) Draw Benfica (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-2 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Rio Ave (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LWLDDWLWLL
Benfica (W) 9-1-0 (W-D-L)
WWWDWWWWWW
Head-to-head
Rio Ave (W) 0–2 Benfica (W) (2 last)
  • Rio Ave (W)0-1Benfica (W)
  • Benfica (W)2-0Rio Ave (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rio Ave (W) 1494 · Benfica (W) 1652
Rio Ave (W)DrawBenfica (W)
Our model6%18%76%
Market7%15%78%
Estimated total (ours) 2.56 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Benfica (W) (rating 1494 vs 1652).
  • H2H favours Benfica (W): 2-0-0.
  • High corners: 12.3 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Rio Ave (W)Benfica (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 0.93.1 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.31.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/70/10%80/20/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.73.9 / 7.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 0.11.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rio Ave (W) 002 Benfica (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/05/26
Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women
Rio Ave (W)0-1
HT 0-0
Benfica (W)
10/01/26
Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women
Benfica (W)2-0
HT 2-0
Rio Ave (W)

Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Braga (W) 110 503
2 Torreense (W) 110 303
2 Benfica (W) 110 303
4 FC Porto (W) 110 313
5 Sporting (W) 110 203
6 Valadares Gaia FC (W) 101 130
7 Vitoria SC (W) 101 020
8 Racing Power (W) 101 030
8 Rio Ave (W) 101 030
10 Maritimo (W) 101 050

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRio Ave (W)Benfica (W)
Torreense (W) 0-3 L 2-0 W
Valadares Gaia FC (W) 1-0 W 2-2 D
Sporting (W) 1-2 L 3-1 W
SF Damaiense (W) 2-0 W 4-0 W
Braga (W) 0-0 D 3-1 W
Vitoria SC (W) 0-0 D 5-1 W
Racing Power (W) 1-0 W 3-0 W
Maritimo (W) 1-2 L 3-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 3 L 7 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Benfica (W) (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rio Ave (W)

LWLDDWLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Torreense (W)
Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women
0-2 0-3 30 L
10/05 Benfica (W)
Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women
0-0 0-1 40 L
02/05 Valadares Gaia FC (W)
Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women
0-0 1-0 62 W
25/04 Sporting (W)
Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women
1-0 1-2 50 L
05/04 SF Damaiense (W)
Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women
1-0 2-0 26 W
22/03 Braga (W)
Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women
0-0 0-0 64 D
13/03 Vitoria SC (W)
Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women
0-0 0-0 53 D
21/02 Torreense (W)
Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women
0-0 0-1 44 L
08/02 Racing Power (W)
Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women
0-0 1-0 73 W
25/01 Maritimo (W)
Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women
1-1 1-2 52 L

Benfica (W)

WWWDWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 Racing Power (W)
Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women
1-0 3-0 133 W
10/05 Rio Ave (W)
Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women
0-0 1-0 30 W
01/05 Sporting (W)
Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women
2-1 3-1 43 W
25/04 Braga (W)
Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women
2-0 3-1 70 W
05/04 Torreense (W)
Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women
1-0 2-0 81 W
22/03 Maritimo (W)
Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women
1-1 3-1 41 W
14/03 Valadares Gaia FC (W)
Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women
2-1 2-2 74 D
22/02 SF Damaiense (W)
Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women
1-0 4-0 110 W
08/02 Vitoria SC (W)
Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women
2-1 5-1 112 W
25/01 Racing Power (W)
Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women
4-0 5-0 82 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rio Ave (W) vs Benfica (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Benfica (W) win (77%). Probabilities: Rio Ave (W) 6%, draw 16%, Benfica (W) 77%.

How many goals are expected in Rio Ave (W) vs Benfica (W)?

The model expects 2.56 goals (Rio Ave (W) 0.43 · Benfica (W) 2.13), with a 59% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Rio Ave (W) vs Benfica (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.