Football · Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women · 12/09, 18:00
Prediction: Braga (W) vs Maritimo (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
Braga (W)2.26
Maritimo (W)0.47
1X2
Braga (W)
Draw
Maritimo (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Braga (W)
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Maritimo (W)
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Braga (W)
3–2–1
Maritimo (W)
(6 last)
- Maritimo (W)0-2Braga (W)
- Maritimo (W)2-2Braga (W)
- Braga (W)1-2Maritimo (W)
- Braga (W)0-0Maritimo (W)
- Maritimo (W)0-1Braga (W)
- Braga (W)3-0Maritimo (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Braga (W) 1521 · Maritimo (W) 1464
| Braga (W) | Draw | Maritimo (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 17% | 6% |
| Market | 78% | 16% | 6% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Braga (W) (rating 1521 vs 1464).
- H2H favours Braga (W): 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Braga (W) | Maritimo (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 0.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 0/90/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 4.7 | 1.7 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 2.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Braga (W) 3–2–1 Maritimo (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women | Maritimo (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Braga (W) |
| 04/01/26 Portugal League Cup Women | Maritimo (W) | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Braga (W) |
| 27/09/25 Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women | Braga (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Maritimo (W) |
| 13/04/25 Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women | Braga (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Maritimo (W) |
| 17/11/24 Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women | Maritimo (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Braga (W) |
| 14/04/24 Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women | Braga (W) | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Maritimo (W) |
Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maritimo (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Porto (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Racing Power (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rio Ave (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Braga (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Torreense (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Benfica (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sporting (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Valadares Gaia FC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vitoria SC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Braga (W) | Maritimo (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Vitoria SC (W) | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Racing Power (W) | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Benfica (W) | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Sporting (W) | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Rio Ave (W) | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Torreense (W) | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Valadares Gaia FC (W) | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| SF Damaiense (W) | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Braga (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Braga (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | Vitoria SC (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Racing Power (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Benfica (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 04/04 | Sporting (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | Rio Ave (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 14/03 | Torreense (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 22/02 | Maritimo (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/02 | Valadares Gaia FC (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 25/01 | SF Damaiense (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 10/01 | Vitoria SC (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
Maritimo (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | Valadares Gaia FC (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | SF Damaiense (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Vitoria SC (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Racing Power (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 22/03 | Benfica (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 15/03 | Sporting (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 22/02 | Braga (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 08/02 | Torreense (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 25/01 | Rio Ave (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 10/01 | Valadares Gaia FC (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Braga (W) vs Maritimo (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Braga (W) win (78%). Probabilities: Braga (W) 78%, draw 16%, Maritimo (W) 6%.
How many goals are expected in Braga (W) vs Maritimo (W)?
The model expects 2.73 goals (Braga (W) 2.26 · Maritimo (W) 0.47), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Braga (W) vs Maritimo (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.