Football · England FA WSL 2 · 20/09, 13:00

Prediction: Durham (W) vs Nottm Forest (W)

Team pages: Durham (W) · Nottm Forest (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
Durham (W)1.09
Nottm Forest (W)1.76
1X2
23% 25% 52%
Durham (W) Draw Nottm Forest (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Durham (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLLDLDWWLL
Nottm Forest (W) 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
LDLWWDWLDD
Head-to-head
Durham (W) 1–1 Nottm Forest (W) (2 last)
  • Nottm Forest (W)2-1Durham (W)
  • Durham (W)3-0Nottm Forest (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Durham (W) 1460 · Nottm Forest (W) 1488
Durham (W)DrawNottm Forest (W)
Our model22%26%52%
Market23%24%53%
Estimated total (ours) 2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Durham (W)Nottm Forest (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 2.11 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 1.10.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 4.92.1 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.4 / 02.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Durham (W) 101 Nottm Forest (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/03/26
England FA WSL 2
Nottm Forest (W)2-1
HT 2-1
Durham (W)
12/10/25
England FA WSL 2
Durham (W)3-0
HT 3-0
Nottm Forest (W)

Standings · England FA WSL 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Sunderland (W) 2200 626
2 Wolverhampton (W) 3201 636
3 Leicester (W) 2200 526
4 Newcastle (W) 2200 306
5 Southampton (W) 2110 314
6 Nottm Forest (W) 2020 332
7 Watford (W) 2020 222
8 Ipswich Town (W) 2020 112
9 Burnley (W) 3012 151
10 Sheff Utd (W) 2002 140
11 Durham (W) 2002 370
12 Bristol City (W) 2002 150

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDurham (W)Nottm Forest (W)
Southampton (W) 1-3 L 0-3 L
Newcastle (W) 1-0 W 1-1 D
Ipswich Town (W) 1-2 L 1-1 D
Sunderland (W) 2-3 L 1-1 D
Charlton (W) 2-4 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 4 L 0 W 3 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Durham (W)

LLLDLDWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Leicester (W)
England FA WSL 2
1-3 2-4 60 L
06/09 Southampton (W)
England FA WSL 2
0-0 1-3 32 L
02/05 Newcastle (W)
England FA WSL 2
1-0 1-0 20 W
26/04 Sheff Utd (W)
England FA WSL 2
1-0 2-1 35 W
05/04 Bristol City (W)
England FA WSL 2
1-1 2-2 91 D
29/03 Nottm Forest (W)
England FA WSL 2
1-2 1-2 03 L
22/03 Southampton (W)
England FA WSL 2
0-0 0-0 84 D
15/03 Ipswich Town (W)
England FA WSL 2
0-2 1-2 44 L
20/02 Sunderland (W)
England FA WSL 2
1-0 2-3 42 L
15/02 Charlton (W)
England FA WSL 2
1-3 2-4 103 L

Nottm Forest (W)

LDLWWDWLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Watford (W)
England FA WSL 2
1-2 2-2 81 D
06/09 Ipswich Town (W)
England FA WSL 2
0-0 1-1 54 D
02/05 Southampton (W)
England FA WSL 2
0-2 0-3 83 L
26/04 Portsmouth (W)
England FA WSL 2
1-0 1-0 30 W
05/04 Newcastle (W)
England FA WSL 2
1-0 1-1 42 D
29/03 Durham (W)
England FA WSL 2
2-1 2-1 43 W
22/03 Ipswich Town (W)
England FA WSL 2
1-0 2-0 21 W
15/03 Crystal Palace (W)
England FA WSL 2
0-1 0-1 51 L
11/03 Sunderland (W)
England FA WSL 2
0-1 1-1 32 D
08/02 Charlton (W)
England FA WSL 2
0-2 0-2 114 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Durham (W) vs Nottm Forest (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Nottm Forest (W) win (52%). Probabilities: Durham (W) 23%, draw 25%, Nottm Forest (W) 52%.

How many goals are expected in Durham (W) vs Nottm Forest (W)?

The model expects 2.85 goals (Durham (W) 1.09 · Nottm Forest (W) 1.76), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Durham (W) vs Nottm Forest (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.