Football · Australia New South Wales League 2 · 07/08, 12:00

Prediction: Mounties Wanderers vs Bankstown United FC

Team pages: Mounties Wanderers · Bankstown United FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.48Total

Mounties Wanderers3.24

Bankstown United FC1.24

1X2

81% 11% 7%

Mounties Wanderers Draw Bankstown United FC

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

3-1

Recent form · 10 last

Mounties Wanderers 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWLWWDWWWW

Bankstown United FC 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDLDLDLLWL

Head-to-head

Mounties Wanderers 0–1–2 Bankstown United FC (3 last)

Bankstown United FC3-3Mounties Wanderers
Mounties Wanderers2-5Bankstown United FC
Bankstown United FC2-1Mounties Wanderers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mounties Wanderers 1610 · Bankstown United FC 1440

	Mounties Wanderers	Draw	Bankstown United FC
Our model	76%	14%	11%
Market	86%	9%	5%

Estimated total (ours) 4.48 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mounties Wanderers (rating 1610 vs 1440).
H2H favours Bankstown United FC: 2-1-0.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mounties Wanderers	Bankstown United FC
Goals for / against (FT)	4.3 / 1	1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	2 / 0.5	0.5 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.4	2.6 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.3 / 0.3	4.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.08

X10.00

219.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.25)1.98

2 (+3.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.85

Under 4.251.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.08 → 1.08	Bet365 1.08
X	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
2	19.00 → 19.00	Bet365 19.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.6%

Time*	1	X	2
06:47 +2’	1.08	10.00	19.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mounties Wanderers 0–1–2 Bankstown United FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/07/24 Australia New South Wales League 2	Bankstown United FC	3-3 HT 0-1	Mounties Wanderers
12/04/24 Australia New South Wales League 2	Mounties Wanderers	2-5 HT 1-3	Bankstown United FC
13/02/21 Australia Friendlies	Bankstown United FC	2-1 HT 2-0	Mounties Wanderers

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Mounties Wanderers	23	19	2	2	84	24	59
2	Parramatta Eagles	24	14	3	7	60	34	45
3	Fraser Park	24	12	6	6	45	30	42
4	Bonnyrigg White Eagles	24	12	4	8	44	38	40
5	Dunbar Rovers FC	24	11	5	8	40	31	38
6	Central Coast United FC	23	10	5	8	38	36	35
7	Western Rage	23	10	5	8	45	50	35
8	Sydney University	25	10	4	11	41	37	34
9	South Coast Flame FC	24	8	7	9	30	32	31
10	Hawkesbury City SC	23	9	3	11	42	61	30
11	Nepean FC	24	8	4	12	43	56	28
12	Inner West Hawks	25	8	4	13	36	43	28
13	Gladesville Ryde Magic	25	8	1	16	37	60	25
14	Bankstown United FC	24	6	6	12	28	47	24
15	Camden Tigers SC	25	2	7	16	34	68	13

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mounties Wanderers	Bankstown United FC
Sydney University	4-2 W	1-1 D
Camden Tigers SC	6-0 W	3-3 D
Nepean FC	4-2 W	1-3 L
Parramatta Eagles	6-0 W	0-4 L
Fraser Park	4-1 W	1-1 D
Central Coast United FC	1-2 L	1-3 L
Bonnyrigg White Eagles	7-0 W	1-3 L
Western Rage	4-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Mounties Wanderers (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mounties Wanderers

WWLWWDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2	2-1	4-2	4	3	W
18/07	Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2	1-1	6-1	7	0	W
10/07	Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2	3-0	6-0	6	1	W
03/07	Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2	2-0	4-2	–	–	W
27/06	Dunbar Rovers FC Australia New South Wales League 2	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
19/06	Parramatta Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2	4-0	6-0	3	2	W
12/06	Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	4-1	4	1	W
05/06	Central Coast United FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-1	1-2	9	2	L
30/05	Bonnyrigg White Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2	3-0	7-0	–	–	W
22/05	Western Rage Australia New South Wales League 2	3-1	4-1	5	2	W

Bankstown United FC

LDLDLDLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Parramatta Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
25/07	Western Rage Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
18/07	Central Coast United FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-3	1-3	–	–	L
11/07	South Coast Flame FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
03/07	Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
20/06	Bonnyrigg White Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
13/06	Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2	2-2	3-3	–	–	D
06/06	Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-2	1-3	5	5	L
30/05	Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	1-1	2	7	D
23/05	Inner West Hawks Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	0-1	13	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mounties Wanderers vs Bankstown United FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mounties Wanderers win (81%). Probabilities: Mounties Wanderers 81%, draw 11%, Bankstown United FC 7%.

How many goals are expected in Mounties Wanderers vs Bankstown United FC?

The model expects 4.48 goals (Mounties Wanderers 3.24 · Bankstown United FC 1.24), with a 51% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Mounties Wanderers vs Bankstown United FC?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.