Football · Australia New South Wales League 2 · 08/08, 07:15

Prediction: South Coast Flame FC vs Parramatta Eagles

Team pages: South Coast Flame FC · Parramatta Eagles

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.27Total

South Coast Flame FC1.32

Parramatta Eagles1.95

1X2

25% 23% 52%

South Coast Flame FC Draw Parramatta Eagles

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

South Coast Flame FC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDDWWDLL

Parramatta Eagles 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWLWWW

Head-to-head

South Coast Flame FC 1–3–0 Parramatta Eagles (4 last)

Parramatta Eagles1-1South Coast Flame FC
South Coast Flame FC4-3Parramatta Eagles
Parramatta Eagles1-1South Coast Flame FC
Parramatta Eagles2-2South Coast Flame FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · South Coast Flame FC 1461 · Parramatta Eagles 1558

	South Coast Flame FC	Draw	Parramatta Eagles
Our model	25%	24%	51%
Market	26%	22%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Parramatta Eagles (rating 1461 vs 1558).
High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	South Coast Flame FC	Parramatta Eagles
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.8	2.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.6	3 / 7.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.50

X4.00

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.85

2 (-0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
06:50 +4’	3.50	4.00	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · South Coast Flame FC 1–3–0 Parramatta Eagles

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Australia New South Wales League 2	Parramatta Eagles	1-1 HT 0-1	South Coast Flame FC
26/07/25 Australia New South Wales League 2	South Coast Flame FC	4-3 HT 2-3	Parramatta Eagles
12/04/25 Australia New South Wales League 2	Parramatta Eagles	1-1 HT 0-0	South Coast Flame FC
11/06/24 Australia New South Wales League 2	Parramatta Eagles	2-2 HT 0-1	South Coast Flame FC

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Mounties Wanderers	23	19	2	2	84	24	59
2	Parramatta Eagles	24	14	3	7	60	34	45
3	Fraser Park	24	12	6	6	45	30	42
4	Bonnyrigg White Eagles	24	12	4	8	44	38	40
5	Dunbar Rovers FC	24	11	5	8	40	31	38
6	Central Coast United FC	23	10	5	8	38	36	35
7	Western Rage	23	10	5	8	45	50	35
8	Sydney University	25	10	4	11	41	37	34
9	South Coast Flame FC	24	8	7	9	30	32	31
10	Hawkesbury City SC	23	9	3	11	42	61	30
11	Nepean FC	24	8	4	12	43	56	28
12	Inner West Hawks	25	8	4	13	36	43	28
13	Gladesville Ryde Magic	25	8	1	16	37	60	25
14	Bankstown United FC	24	6	6	12	28	47	24
15	Camden Tigers SC	25	2	7	16	34	68	13

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	South Coast Flame FC	Parramatta Eagles
Inner West Hawks	0-2 L	4-2 W
Bankstown United FC	1-0 W	4-0 W
Central Coast United FC	1-0 W	1-2 L
Hawkesbury City SC	1-1 D	5-1 W
Dunbar Rovers FC	1-4 L	2-0 W
Sydney University	2-3 L	3-0 W
Nepean FC	1-4 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	6 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Parramatta Eagles (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

South Coast Flame FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2	2-0	2-3	1	2	L
25/07	Inner West Hawks Australia New South Wales League 2	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
18/07	Bonnyrigg White Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
11/07	Bankstown United FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	1-0	9	6	W
04/07	Central Coast United FC Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	1-0	11	9	W
27/06	Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
13/06	Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
06/06	Dunbar Rovers FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-3	1-4	6	4	L
30/05	Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2	1-2	2-3	4	1	L
22/05	Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2	1-1	1-4	7	5	L

Parramatta Eagles

WWLLWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Bankstown United FC Australia New South Wales League 2	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
25/07	Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	5-1	–	–	W
18/07	Inner West Hawks Australia New South Wales League 2	1-1	4-2	10	2	W
11/07	Western Rage Australia New South Wales League 2	1-1	2-3	5	5	L
04/07	Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	2-1	11	0	W
27/06	Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
19/06	Mounties Wanderers Australia New South Wales League 2	0-4	0-6	4	2	L
13/06	Central Coast United FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
06/06	Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
30/05	Dunbar Rovers FC Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in South Coast Flame FC vs Parramatta Eagles?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Parramatta Eagles win (52%). Probabilities: South Coast Flame FC 25%, draw 23%, Parramatta Eagles 52%.

How many goals are expected in South Coast Flame FC vs Parramatta Eagles?

The model expects 3.27 goals (South Coast Flame FC 1.32 · Parramatta Eagles 1.95), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in South Coast Flame FC vs Parramatta Eagles?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.