Football · Australia New South Wales League 2 · 15/08, 09:00

Prediction: Parramatta Eagles vs Bonnyrigg White Eagles

Team pages: Parramatta Eagles · Bonnyrigg White Eagles

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.44Total

Parramatta Eagles1.96

Bonnyrigg White Eagles1.48

1X2

48% 23% 29%

Parramatta Eagles Draw Bonnyrigg White Eagles

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Parramatta Eagles 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLWWWW

Bonnyrigg White Eagles 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWDDWW

Head-to-head

Parramatta Eagles 2–1–3 Bonnyrigg White Eagles (6 last)

Bonnyrigg White Eagles3-0Parramatta Eagles
Parramatta Eagles0-2Bonnyrigg White Eagles
Bonnyrigg White Eagles3-2Parramatta Eagles
Parramatta Eagles1-1Bonnyrigg White Eagles
Bonnyrigg White Eagles1-2Parramatta Eagles
Parramatta Eagles5-3Bonnyrigg White Eagles

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Parramatta Eagles 1558 · Bonnyrigg White Eagles 1540

	Parramatta Eagles	Draw	Bonnyrigg White Eagles
Our model	48%	24%	28%
Market	49%	22%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.44 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Bonnyrigg White Eagles: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Parramatta Eagles	Bonnyrigg White Eagles
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.7	1.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 7.2	2.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0.2	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.83

X4.00

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
09:30 +7’	1.83	4.00	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Parramatta Eagles 2–1–3 Bonnyrigg White Eagles

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Australia New South Wales League 2	Bonnyrigg White Eagles	3-0 HT 0-0	Parramatta Eagles
13/08/17 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Parramatta Eagles	0-2 HT 0-1	Bonnyrigg White Eagles
20/05/17 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Bonnyrigg White Eagles	3-2 HT 2-1	Parramatta Eagles
27/07/16 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Parramatta Eagles	1-1	Bonnyrigg White Eagles
30/04/16 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Bonnyrigg White Eagles	1-2	Parramatta Eagles
26/07/15 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Parramatta Eagles	5-3	Bonnyrigg White Eagles

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Mounties Wanderers	25	21	2	2	92	26	65
2	Parramatta Eagles	25	15	3	7	63	35	48
3	Bonnyrigg White Eagles	25	13	4	8	48	38	43
4	Fraser Park	25	12	6	7	46	32	42
5	Dunbar Rovers FC	25	12	5	8	46	31	41
6	Central Coast United FC	25	11	5	9	42	42	38
7	Western Rage	24	11	5	8	47	51	38
8	Sydney University	26	11	4	11	45	38	37
9	South Coast Flame FC	25	8	7	10	31	35	31
10	Hawkesbury City SC	24	9	3	12	44	65	30
11	Nepean FC	25	8	4	13	44	60	28
12	Inner West Hawks	25	8	4	13	36	43	28
13	Gladesville Ryde Magic	26	8	1	17	37	66	25
14	Bankstown United FC	25	6	6	13	30	51	24
15	Camden Tigers SC	26	2	7	17	34	72	13

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Parramatta Eagles	Bonnyrigg White Eagles
South Coast Flame FC	3-1 W	0-0 D
Bankstown United FC	4-0 W	3-1 W
Hawkesbury City SC	5-1 W	2-1 W
Western Rage	2-3 L	2-3 L
Gladesville Ryde Magic	2-1 W	2-0 W
Nepean FC	3-1 W	4-2 W
Mounties Wanderers	0-6 L	0-7 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Parramatta Eagles (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Parramatta Eagles

WLLWWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	South Coast Flame FC Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	3-1	6	3	W
01/08	Bankstown United FC Australia New South Wales League 2	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
25/07	Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	5-1	–	–	W
18/07	Inner West Hawks Australia New South Wales League 2	1-1	4-2	10	2	W
11/07	Western Rage Australia New South Wales League 2	1-1	2-3	5	5	L
04/07	Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	2-1	11	0	W
27/06	Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
19/06	Mounties Wanderers Australia New South Wales League 2	0-4	0-6	4	2	L
13/06	Central Coast United FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
06/06	Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2	2-0	3-0	–	–	W

Bonnyrigg White Eagles

LLWLWWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
31/07	Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2	2-1	4-2	3	3	W
26/07	Dunbar Rovers FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
18/07	South Coast Flame FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
11/07	Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
04/07	Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
28/06	Western Rage Australia New South Wales League 2	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
20/06	Bankstown United FC Australia New South Wales League 2	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
05/06	Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
30/05	Mounties Wanderers Australia New South Wales League 2	0-3	0-7	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Parramatta Eagles vs Bonnyrigg White Eagles?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Parramatta Eagles win (48%). Probabilities: Parramatta Eagles 48%, draw 23%, Bonnyrigg White Eagles 29%.

How many goals are expected in Parramatta Eagles vs Bonnyrigg White Eagles?

The model expects 3.44 goals (Parramatta Eagles 1.96 · Bonnyrigg White Eagles 1.48), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Parramatta Eagles vs Bonnyrigg White Eagles?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.