Football · Australia New South Wales League 2 · 14/08, 12:00

Prediction: Fraser Park vs Central Coast United FC

Team pages: Fraser Park · Central Coast United FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

Fraser Park1.79

Central Coast United FC1.47

1X2

45% 24% 31%

Fraser Park Draw Central Coast United FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Fraser Park 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Central Coast United FC 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Fraser Park 3–1–1 Central Coast United FC (5 last)

Central Coast United FC0-0Fraser Park
Fraser Park4-2Central Coast United FC
Central Coast United FC1-3Fraser Park
Central Coast United FC4-1Fraser Park
Fraser Park4-0Central Coast United FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fraser Park 1517 · Central Coast United FC 1575

	Fraser Park	Draw	Central Coast United FC
Our model	44%	25%	31%
Market	45%	24%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Central Coast United FC (rating 1517 vs 1575).
H2H favours Fraser Park: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fraser Park	Central Coast United FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.8	2.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	1.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 6.9	1.3 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.80

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
07:13 +2’	2.00	3.80	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fraser Park 3–1–1 Central Coast United FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Australia New South Wales League 2	Central Coast United FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Fraser Park
06/06/25 Australia New South Wales League 2	Fraser Park	4-2 HT 3-1	Central Coast United FC
21/02/25 Australia New South Wales League 2	Central Coast United FC	1-3 HT 0-2	Fraser Park
10/08/24 Australia New South Wales League 2	Central Coast United FC	4-1 HT 2-0	Fraser Park
04/05/24 Australia New South Wales League 2	Fraser Park	4-0 HT 3-0	Central Coast United FC

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Mounties Wanderers	24	20	2	2	88	26	62
2	Parramatta Eagles	25	15	3	7	63	35	48
3	Bonnyrigg White Eagles	25	13	4	8	48	38	43
4	Fraser Park	25	12	6	7	46	32	42
5	Dunbar Rovers FC	25	12	5	8	46	31	41
6	Central Coast United FC	24	11	5	8	42	38	38
7	Western Rage	24	11	5	8	47	51	38
8	Sydney University	26	11	4	11	45	38	37
9	South Coast Flame FC	25	8	7	10	31	35	31
10	Hawkesbury City SC	24	9	3	12	44	65	30
11	Nepean FC	25	8	4	13	44	60	28
12	Inner West Hawks	25	8	4	13	36	43	28
13	Gladesville Ryde Magic	26	8	1	17	37	66	25
14	Bankstown United FC	25	6	6	13	30	51	24
15	Camden Tigers SC	26	2	7	17	34	72	13

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fraser Park	Central Coast United FC
Western Rage	1-2 L	3-1 W
South Coast Flame FC	3-2 W	0-1 L
Gladesville Ryde Magic	2-1 W	4-1 W
Sydney University	0-2 L	3-1 W
Hawkesbury City SC	1-1 D	4-2 W
Mounties Wanderers	1-4 L	2-1 W
Bankstown United FC	1-1 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	6 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Central Coast United FC (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fraser Park

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/08	Western Rage Australia New South Wales League 2	0-2	1-2	6	4	L
31/07	South Coast Flame FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-2	3-2	13	2	W
24/07	Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2	1-1	2-1	4	6	W
17/07	Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2	4-0	5-4	3	4	W
10/07	Inner West Hawks Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	3-1	11	5	W
27/06	Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
20/06	Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
12/06	Mounties Wanderers Australia New South Wales League 2	0-1	1-4	2	1	L
05/06	Bonnyrigg White Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
30/05	Bankstown United FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-1	1-1	9	7	D

Central Coast United FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2	3-2	4-2	–	–	W
01/08	Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
18/07	Bankstown United FC Australia New South Wales League 2	3-0	3-1	–	–	W
11/07	Dunbar Rovers FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	0-3	2	2	L
04/07	South Coast Flame FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-1	0-1	5	9	L
27/06	Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
20/06	Western Rage Australia New South Wales League 2	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
13/06	Parramatta Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
05/06	Mounties Wanderers Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	2-1	1	2	W
30/05	Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2	2-1	4-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fraser Park vs Central Coast United FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fraser Park win (45%). Probabilities: Fraser Park 45%, draw 24%, Central Coast United FC 31%.

How many goals are expected in Fraser Park vs Central Coast United FC?

The model expects 3.26 goals (Fraser Park 1.79 · Central Coast United FC 1.47), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Fraser Park vs Central Coast United FC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.