Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 15/08, 00:00

Prediction: Fernando de la Mora vs Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

Team pages: Fernando de la Mora · Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

Fernando de la Mora1.47

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval1.55

1X2

35% 28% 38%

Fernando de la Mora Draw Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Fernando de la Mora 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

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Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Fernando de la Mora 1–0 Club Dr Benjamin Aceval (1 last)

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval0-1Fernando de la Mora

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fernando de la Mora 1522 · Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1528

	Fernando de la Mora	Draw	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval
Our model	35%	26%	38%
Market	34%	29%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fernando de la Mora	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.7	1.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.3	2.8 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.4	4.1 / 0.9

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.10

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 1.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
12:51 +2’	2.63	3.10	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fernando de la Mora 1–0–0 Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	0-1 HT 0-0	Fernando de la Mora

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	18	11	4	3	26	16	37
2	General Caballero JLM	18	11	3	4	37	23	36
3	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	18	10	5	3	29	17	35
4	Deportivo Santaní	18	10	3	5	27	16	33
5	Sol de America	18	6	10	2	24	16	28
6	Resistencia FC	18	6	7	5	21	22	25
7	Carapegua	18	7	4	7	22	29	25
8	Club Atlético Tembetary	18	6	5	7	25	25	23
9	Independiente FBC	18	5	8	5	26	25	23
10	Guairena FC	18	6	5	7	18	21	23
11	Deportivo Capiata	18	5	8	5	24	25	23
12	Fernando de la Mora	18	5	5	8	19	27	20
13	Paraguari AC	18	5	4	9	18	23	19
14	Tacuary	18	3	9	6	22	27	18
15	Encarnacion FC	18	3	3	12	15	25	12
16	3 de Noviembre	18	0	7	11	14	30	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fernando de la Mora	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval
3 de Noviembre	2-2 D	2-1 W
General Caballero JLM	3-2 W	0-2 L
Guairena FC	1-3 L	1-1 D
Resistencia FC	1-3 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Club Dr Benjamin Aceval (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Fernando de la Mora

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
01/08	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	2	3	D
26/07	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
21/07	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-2	2	4	W
15/07	Atletico Colegiales Paraguay Cup	5-0	11-0	14	3	W
10/07	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-2	5	4	D
03/07	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-2	5	9	D
27/06	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-2	1	8	W
06/06	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-3	4	8	L
30/05	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-3	7	6	L

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

LWWDDWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-1	7	4	W
31/07	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-2	8	3	L
27/07	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
21/07	10 de Julio Presidente Hayes Paraguay Cup	3-0	4-0	6	3	W
18/07	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
12/07	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	1	9	D
07/07	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
30/06	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-1	1	2	W
06/06	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-2	8	7	W
30/05	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	3-4	10	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fernando de la Mora vs Club Dr Benjamin Aceval?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Club Dr Benjamin Aceval win (38%). Probabilities: Fernando de la Mora 35%, draw 28%, Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 38%.

How many goals are expected in Fernando de la Mora vs Club Dr Benjamin Aceval?

The model expects 3.02 goals (Fernando de la Mora 1.47 · Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1.55), with a 58% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Fernando de la Mora vs Club Dr Benjamin Aceval?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.