Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 15/08, 15:00

Prediction: Paraguari AC vs Sol de America

Team pages: Paraguari AC · Sol de America

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.2Total

Paraguari AC1

Sol de America1.2

1X2

30% 30% 40%

Paraguari AC Draw Sol de America

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Paraguari AC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LDDLDDWLWW

Sol de America 4-6-0 (W-D-L)

DWWDDDDWDW

Head-to-head

Paraguari AC 0–1–0 Sol de America (1 last)

Sol de America0-0Paraguari AC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Paraguari AC 1506 · Sol de America 1558

	Paraguari AC	Draw	Sol de America
Our model	29%	32%	39%
Market	31%	29%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sol de America (rating 1506 vs 1558).
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Paraguari AC	Sol de America
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	1.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.6	1.5 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	4.7 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.10

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
09:44 +7’	2.90	3.10	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Paraguari AC 0–1–0 Sol de America

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Sol de America	0-0 HT 0-0	Paraguari AC

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	18	11	4	3	26	16	37
2	General Caballero JLM	18	11	3	4	37	23	36
3	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	18	10	5	3	29	17	35
4	Deportivo Santaní	18	10	3	5	27	16	33
5	Sol de America	18	6	10	2	24	16	28
6	Resistencia FC	18	6	7	5	21	22	25
7	Carapegua	18	7	4	7	22	29	25
8	Club Atlético Tembetary	18	6	5	7	25	25	23
9	Independiente FBC	18	5	8	5	26	25	23
10	Guairena FC	18	6	5	7	18	21	23
11	Deportivo Capiata	18	5	8	5	24	25	23
12	Fernando de la Mora	18	5	5	8	19	27	20
13	Paraguari AC	18	5	4	9	18	23	19
14	Tacuary	18	3	9	6	22	27	18
15	Encarnacion FC	18	3	3	12	15	25	12
16	3 de Noviembre	18	0	7	11	14	30	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Paraguari AC	Sol de America
Encarnacion FC	1-0 W	3-2 W
Deportivo Capiata	2-1 W	4-1 W
Deportivo Santaní	0-2 L	0-0 D
Independiente FBC	3-2 W	1-1 D
Tacuary	0-1 L	1-1 D
Club Atlético Tembetary	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sol de America (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Paraguari AC

LDDLDDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
04/08	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-1	4	2	W
25/07	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
18/07	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	3-2	6	7	W
15/07	Club 15 de Agosto FBC Paraguay Cup	0-0	1-1	7	5	D
10/07	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-2	6	4	D
03/07	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
28/06	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	9	6	D
04/06	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-1	4	8	D
31/05	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-3	4	9	L

Sol de America

DWWDDDDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	3-0	4-1	2	4	W
02/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	5	8	D
29/07	River Plate Asuncion Paraguay Cup	1-0	2-0	2	7	W
25/07	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
19/07	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
12/07	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	2	9	D
05/07	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	7	0	D
28/06	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	0	6	W
08/06	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-2	2	7	W
29/05	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	5	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Paraguari AC vs Sol de America?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sol de America win (40%). Probabilities: Paraguari AC 30%, draw 30%, Sol de America 40%.

How many goals are expected in Paraguari AC vs Sol de America?

The model expects 2.2 goals (Paraguari AC 1 · Sol de America 1.2), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Paraguari AC vs Sol de America?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.