Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 15/08, 15:00

Prediction: Guairena FC vs Independiente FBC

Team pages: Guairena FC · Independiente FBC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

Guairena FC1.29

Independiente FBC1.25

1X2

37% 29% 35%

Guairena FC Draw Independiente FBC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Guairena FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLWDDL

Independiente FBC 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WLDDLWDDDW

Head-to-head

Guairena FC 2–2–2 Independiente FBC (6 last)

Independiente FBC2-0Guairena FC
Guairena FC4-2Independiente FBC
Independiente FBC0-0Guairena FC
Guairena FC2-1Independiente FBC
Independiente FBC2-2Guairena FC
Independiente FBC1-0Guairena FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guairena FC 1494 · Independiente FBC 1527

	Guairena FC	Draw	Independiente FBC
Our model	36%	29%	34%
Market	37%	28%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Guairena FC	Independiente FBC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	2.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	1.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.6	2.7 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.8	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.20

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
07:13 +25’	2.40	3.20	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Guairena FC 2–2–2 Independiente FBC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Independiente FBC	2-0 HT 0-0	Guairena FC
09/08/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Guairena FC	4-2 HT 2-1	Independiente FBC
03/05/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Independiente FBC	0-0 HT 0-0	Guairena FC
13/07/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Guairena FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Independiente FBC
08/04/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Independiente FBC	2-2 HT 1-1	Guairena FC
03/11/19 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Independiente FBC	1-0 HT 0-0	Guairena FC

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	18	11	4	3	26	16	37
2	General Caballero JLM	18	11	3	4	37	23	36
3	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	18	10	5	3	29	17	35
4	Deportivo Santaní	18	10	3	5	27	16	33
5	Sol de America	18	6	10	2	24	16	28
6	Resistencia FC	18	6	7	5	21	22	25
7	Carapegua	18	7	4	7	22	29	25
8	Club Atlético Tembetary	18	6	5	7	25	25	23
9	Independiente FBC	18	5	8	5	26	25	23
10	Guairena FC	18	6	5	7	18	21	23
11	Deportivo Capiata	18	5	8	5	24	25	23
12	Fernando de la Mora	18	5	5	8	19	27	20
13	Paraguari AC	18	5	4	9	18	23	19
14	Tacuary	18	3	9	6	22	27	18
15	Encarnacion FC	18	3	3	12	15	25	12
16	3 de Noviembre	18	0	7	11	14	30	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Guairena FC	Independiente FBC
Tacuary	0-1 L	2-2 D
Club Atlético Tembetary	0-0 D	2-2 D
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	1-1 D	1-2 L
Carapegua	1-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Independiente FBC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Guairena FC

WWLWLLWDDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	8	2	L
01/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
27/07	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	0	4	D
22/07	Club Sport Colombia Paraguay Cup	1-1	3-1	4	5	W
18/07	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-2	9	4	L
12/07	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
06/07	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-1	3	2	W
01/07	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-2	12	8	L
06/06	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	3-1	4	8	W
01/06	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-1	5	8	W

Independiente FBC

WLDDLWDDDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Cup	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
07/08	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
02/08	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	6	8	D
29/07	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
23/07	Atletico Naciones Unidas Paraguay Cup	5-0	10-0	6	0	W
18/07	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-3	1	7	L
13/07	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-2	2-2	7	2	D
08/07	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-2	2-2	6	6	D
30/06	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-2	5	2	L
06/06	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-0	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guairena FC vs Independiente FBC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Guairena FC win (37%). Probabilities: Guairena FC 37%, draw 29%, Independiente FBC 35%.

How many goals are expected in Guairena FC vs Independiente FBC?

The model expects 2.54 goals (Guairena FC 1.29 · Independiente FBC 1.25), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Guairena FC vs Independiente FBC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.