Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 16/08, 15:00

Prediction: Resistencia FC vs Deportivo Capiata

Team pages: Resistencia FC · Deportivo Capiata

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

Resistencia FC1.38

Deportivo Capiata1.3

1X2

38% 29% 34%

Resistencia FC Draw Deportivo Capiata

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Resistencia FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWLDWLWWD

Deportivo Capiata 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WDWDLDLDLL

Head-to-head

Resistencia FC 1–2–2 Deportivo Capiata (5 last)

Deportivo Capiata1-1Resistencia FC
Resistencia FC1-1Deportivo Capiata
Deportivo Capiata1-0Resistencia FC
Deportivo Capiata0-4Resistencia FC
Resistencia FC0-1Deportivo Capiata

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Resistencia FC 1531 · Deportivo Capiata 1461

	Resistencia FC	Draw	Deportivo Capiata
Our model	38%	28%	34%
Market	37%	29%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Resistencia FC (rating 1531 vs 1461).
H2H favours Deportivo Capiata: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Resistencia FC	Deportivo Capiata
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.3	1.4 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.8	1.4 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.4	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.10

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Pinn 2.47 ★
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.63 → 2.63	Pinn 2.69

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.5% Pinnacle margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
08:20 +6’	2.38	3.10	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:13 +1’	2.44	2.96	2.66
14:27 +6’	2.47▲	3.00▲	2.69▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Resistencia FC 1–2–2 Deportivo Capiata

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Capiata	1-1 HT 1-0	Resistencia FC
11/07/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Resistencia FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Deportivo Capiata
05/04/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Capiata	1-0 HT 1-0	Resistencia FC
17/10/21 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Capiata	0-4	Resistencia FC
04/07/21 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Resistencia FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Deportivo Capiata

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	19	12	4	3	28	16	40
2	General Caballero JLM	18	11	3	4	37	23	36
3	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	19	10	5	4	30	19	35
4	Deportivo Santaní	18	10	3	5	27	16	33
5	Sol de America	19	6	11	2	25	17	29
6	Independiente FBC	19	6	8	5	28	26	26
7	Resistencia FC	18	6	7	5	21	22	25
8	Carapegua	18	7	4	7	22	29	25
9	Guairena FC	19	6	5	8	19	23	23
10	Club Atlético Tembetary	18	6	5	7	25	25	23
11	Fernando de la Mora	19	6	5	8	21	28	23
12	Deportivo Capiata	18	5	8	5	24	25	23
13	Paraguari AC	19	5	5	9	19	24	20
14	Tacuary	18	3	9	6	22	27	18
15	Encarnacion FC	19	3	3	13	15	27	12
16	3 de Noviembre	18	0	7	11	14	30	7

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Resistencia FC	Deportivo Capiata
Independiente FBC	1-1 D	1-1 D
Tacuary	3-1 W	0-0 D
Club Atlético Tembetary	1-0 W	1-3 L
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	0-2 L	1-1 D
Carapegua	1-1 D	5-2 W
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	2-3 L	1-1 D
Encarnacion FC	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Capiata (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Resistencia FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
01/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-1	3	6	W
28/07	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	1	8	W
18/07	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
14/07	Deportivo Santa Monica Paraguay Cup	1-1	2-1	2	4	W
10/07	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
05/07	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-3	2-3	6	9	L
30/06	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	7	7	W
04/06	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-3	5	6	L
30/05	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-1	6	6	W

Deportivo Capiata

WDWDLDLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-3	1-4	6	4	L
04/08	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-2	6	2	L
29/07	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-1	6	1	D
23/07	Sportivo Iteno Paraguay Cup	0-1	2-3	9	5	L
20/07	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
14/07	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-3	6	2	L
07/07	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	2	5	D
27/06	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	5-2	5	2	W
07/06	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
31/05	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	6	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Resistencia FC vs Deportivo Capiata?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Resistencia FC win (38%). Probabilities: Resistencia FC 38%, draw 29%, Deportivo Capiata 34%.

How many goals are expected in Resistencia FC vs Deportivo Capiata?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Resistencia FC 1.38 · Deportivo Capiata 1.3), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Resistencia FC vs Deportivo Capiata?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.