Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 10/08, 21:30

Prediction: Tacuary vs Guairena FC

Team pages: Tacuary · Guairena FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.38Total

Tacuary1.21

Guairena FC1.17

1X2

36% 30% 34%

Tacuary Draw Guairena FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Tacuary 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DDLWWDDDWL

Guairena FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLWLLWDD

Head-to-head

Tacuary 2–4 Guairena FC (6 last)

Guairena FC2-0Tacuary
Tacuary0-1Guairena FC
Guairena FC1-0Tacuary
Tacuary1-3Guairena FC
Guairena FC1-2Tacuary
Guairena FC0-1Tacuary

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tacuary 1498 · Guairena FC 1533

	Tacuary	Draw	Guairena FC
Our model	36%	30%	34%
Market	37%	29%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Guairena FC: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tacuary	Guairena FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.5	1.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.7	3.1 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.7	4.1 / 0.8

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.10

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
18:21 +23’	2.45	3.10	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tacuary 2–0–4 Guairena FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Guairena FC	2-0 HT 0-0	Tacuary
29/08/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Tacuary	0-1 HT 0-0	Guairena FC
27/05/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Guairena FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Tacuary
19/10/23 Paraguay Division Profesional	Tacuary	1-3 HT 1-2	Guairena FC
30/07/23 Paraguay Division Profesional	Guairena FC	1-2 HT 0-1	Tacuary
15/04/23 Paraguay Division Profesional	Guairena FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Tacuary

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	18	11	4	3	26	16	37
2	Deportivo Santaní	18	10	3	5	27	16	33
3	General Caballero JLM	17	10	3	4	34	22	33
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	17	9	5	3	27	16	32
5	Sol de America	18	6	10	2	24	16	28
6	Resistencia FC	18	6	7	5	21	22	25
7	Club Atlético Tembetary	17	6	5	6	24	22	23
8	Independiente FBC	18	5	8	5	26	25	23
9	Guairena FC	17	6	5	6	18	20	23
10	Deportivo Capiata	18	5	8	5	24	25	23
11	Carapegua	17	6	4	7	20	29	22
12	Fernando de la Mora	17	5	5	7	19	25	20
13	Paraguari AC	18	5	4	9	18	23	19
14	Tacuary	17	2	9	6	21	27	15
15	Encarnacion FC	18	3	3	12	15	25	12
16	3 de Noviembre	17	0	7	10	13	28	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tacuary	Guairena FC
Club Atlético Tembetary	4-2 W	0-0 D
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	2-3 L	1-1 D
Carapegua	2-2 D	1-2 L
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	2-2 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Tacuary (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Tacuary

DDLWWDDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-3	3	6	L
29/07	Club General Diaz Paraguay Cup	0-0	1-0	7	8	W
25/07	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	7	4	D
20/07	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
13/07	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	2-2	3	2	D
03/07	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
27/06	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	4-2	–	–	W
06/06	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-3	2	7	L
31/05	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	2-2	2	5	D
24/05	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-2	6	5	D

Guairena FC

DWWLWLLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
27/07	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	0	4	D
22/07	Club Sport Colombia Paraguay Cup	1-1	3-1	4	5	W
18/07	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-2	9	4	L
12/07	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
06/07	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-1	3	2	W
01/07	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-2	12	8	L
06/06	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	3-1	4	8	W
01/06	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-1	5	8	W
26/05	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	5	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tacuary vs Guairena FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tacuary win (36%). Probabilities: Tacuary 36%, draw 30%, Guairena FC 34%.

How many goals are expected in Tacuary vs Guairena FC?

The model expects 2.38 goals (Tacuary 1.21 · Guairena FC 1.17), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Tacuary vs Guairena FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.