Football · Hungary NB III · 12/08, 17:30

Prediction: Papai Perutz vs Veszprem FC

Team pages: Veszprem FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

Papai Perutz1.54

Veszprem FC1.84

1X2

31% 25% 44%

Papai Perutz Draw Veszprem FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Papai Perutz 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLLDLW

Veszprem FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLWDDWLWWL

Head-to-head

Papai Perutz 0–1–3 Veszprem FC (4 last)

Papai Perutz1-2Veszprem FC
Veszprem FC3-1Papai Perutz
Papai Perutz0-1Veszprem FC
Veszprem FC0-0Papai Perutz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Papai Perutz 1443 · Veszprem FC 1521

	Papai Perutz	Draw	Veszprem FC
Our model	32%	24%	44%
Market	31%	25%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Veszprem FC (rating 1443 vs 1521).
H2H favours Veszprem FC: 3-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Papai Perutz	Veszprem FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.6	1.5 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.3	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.9	1.8 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.6	4.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.60

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:58 +14’	2.88	3.60	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Papai Perutz 0–1–3 Veszprem FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Hungary NB III	Papai Perutz	1-2 HT 0-2	Veszprem FC
10/08/25 Hungary NB III	Veszprem FC	3-1 HT 2-1	Papai Perutz
13/04/22 Hungary NB III	Papai Perutz	0-1 HT 0-0	Veszprem FC
10/10/21 Hungary NB III	Veszprem FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Papai Perutz

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dorogi FC	2	2	0	0	10	1	6
2	MTE 1904	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
3	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	2	1	1	0	7	2	4
4	Komarom VSE	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
4	SC Sopron	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
6	FC Tatabanya	2	1	0	1	5	2	3
7	Bicskei TC	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
7	Györi ETO II	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
9	Kiraly SZE	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
10	Papai Perutz	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
11	Sarisapi BSE	2	1	0	1	3	5	3
12	Veszprem FC	2	1	0	1	3	7	3
13	1908 SZAC Budapest	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
14	Zalaegerszegi TE II	2	0	0	2	3	6	0
15	Puskas Academy II	2	0	0	2	1	6	0
16	Balatonalmadi SE	2	0	0	2	2	10	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Papai Perutz	Veszprem FC
Ujpest II	0-3 L	2-1 W
Budaorsi SC	0-2 L	1-5 L
Puskas Academy II	1-3 L	2-1 W
SC Sopron	1-0 W	2-2 D
Komarom VSE	2-8 L	0-0 D
Balatonfuredi FC	3-1 W	2-1 W
FC Tatabanya	2-6 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 5 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Veszprem FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Papai Perutz

LWLWLLLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	0-1	2-1	4	11	W
25/07	Kiraly SE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
24/05	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	1	8	D
17/05	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	0-3	0-3	3	6	L
10/05	Budaorsi SC Hungary NB III	0-2	0-2	8	1	L
30/04	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	1-1	1-3	4	2	L
26/04	SC Sopron Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
19/04	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	2-1	2-8	5	5	L
11/04	Balatonfuredi FC Hungary NB III	1-1	3-1	4	8	W
05/04	FC Tatabanya Hungary NB III	0-3	2-6	1	1	L

Veszprem FC

DLWDDWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Dorogi FC Hungary NB III	0-3	0-6	1	4	L
25/07	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
24/05	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
17/05	Budaorsi SC Hungary NB III	0-1	1-5	4	3	L
10/05	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	0-1	2-1	7	2	W
03/05	SC Sopron Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
26/04	Komarom VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
19/04	Balatonfuredi FC Hungary NB III	0-1	2-1	6	7	W
11/04	FC Tatabanya Hungary NB III	0-1	1-2	5	10	L
05/04	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB III	2-1	2-2	1	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Papai Perutz vs Veszprem FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Veszprem FC win (44%). Probabilities: Papai Perutz 31%, draw 25%, Veszprem FC 44%.

How many goals are expected in Papai Perutz vs Veszprem FC?

The model expects 3.38 goals (Papai Perutz 1.54 · Veszprem FC 1.84), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Papai Perutz vs Veszprem FC?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.