Football · Hungary NB III · 16/08, 17:30

Prediction: FC Dabas vs Kispest Honved II

Team pages: FC Dabas · Kispest Honved II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

FC Dabas1.75

Kispest Honved II1.24

1X2

48% 25% 26%

FC Dabas Draw Kispest Honved II

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Dabas 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLDWWLLWW

Kispest Honved II 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Dabas 1–1–4 Kispest Honved II (6 last)

FC Dabas0-1Kispest Honved II
Kispest Honved II1-1FC Dabas
Kispest Honved II3-1FC Dabas
Kispest Honved II2-1FC Dabas
FC Dabas0-4Kispest Honved II
Kispest Honved II1-4FC Dabas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Dabas 1517 · Kispest Honved II 1476

	FC Dabas	Draw	Kispest Honved II
Our model	48%	26%	26%
Market	49%	25%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Dabas (rating 1517 vs 1476).
H2H favours Kispest Honved II: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Dabas	Kispest Honved II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.6	1.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.4 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.5	2.8 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.60

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.74 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:57 +2’	1.85	3.60	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:58 +1’	1.73	3.56	3.74

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Dabas 1–1–4 Kispest Honved II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/11/25 Hungary NB III	FC Dabas	0-1 HT 0-0	Kispest Honved II
27/07/25 Hungary NB III	Kispest Honved II	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Dabas
08/09/24 Hungary NB III	Kispest Honved II	3-1 HT 2-0	FC Dabas
17/03/24 Hungary NB III	Kispest Honved II	2-1 HT 0-0	FC Dabas
30/08/23 Hungary NB III	FC Dabas	0-4 HT 0-3	Kispest Honved II
26/09/21 Hungary NB III	Kispest Honved II	1-4 HT 0-1	FC Dabas

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyulai Termal	4	4	0	0	16	2	12
2	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	4	4	0	0	14	4	12
3	III Keruleti TUE	3	3	0	0	7	0	9
4	Ujpest II	4	2	1	1	13	6	7
5	Szolnoki Mav FC	4	2	1	1	9	9	7
6	FC Dabas	3	2	0	1	6	7	6
7	Csepel FC	4	1	2	1	3	4	5
8	ESMTK	3	1	1	1	5	5	4
9	Monori SE	4	1	1	2	6	7	4
10	Sandorfalvi SK	3	1	0	2	3	12	3
11	Vasas SC II	3	0	2	1	6	8	2
12	Bekescsabai Elore SE	4	0	2	2	2	6	2
13	Hodmezovasarhelyi	4	0	2	2	3	9	2
14	Kispest Honved II	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
15	Szegedi VSE	4	0	1	3	5	8	1
16	BKV Elore SC	3	0	0	3	2	12	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Dabas	Kispest Honved II
Monori SE	3-2 W	1-0 W
Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	1-4 L	2-3 L
Bekescsabai Elore SE II	3-1 W	4-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Kispest Honved II (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Dabas

WWLDWWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	Monori SE Hungary NB III	2-1	3-2	6	6	W
08/08	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
26/07	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	1-1	1-4	1	3	L
24/05	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	0-1	0-3	2	2	L
17/05	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
10/05	Martfui LSE Hungary NB III	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
03/05	Dunaharaszti MTK Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
26/04	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
19/04	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
11/04	Bekescsabai Elore SE II Hungary NB III	1-0	3-1	–	–	W

Kispest Honved II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	2-2	2-3	8	6	L
26/07	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
24/05	Csepel FC Hungary NB III	0-2	1-3	3	5	L
17/05	Monori SE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
10/05	Tiszafoldvar Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	7	8	W
03/05	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	5	5	L
26/04	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	9	2	L
19/04	ESMTK Hungary NB III	0-4	0-4	2	3	L
11/04	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	9	4	D
05/04	Bekescsabai Elore SE II Hungary NB III	0-1	4-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Dabas vs Kispest Honved II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Dabas win (48%). Probabilities: FC Dabas 48%, draw 25%, Kispest Honved II 26%.

How many goals are expected in FC Dabas vs Kispest Honved II?

The model expects 2.99 goals (FC Dabas 1.75 · Kispest Honved II 1.24), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Dabas vs Kispest Honved II?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.