Football · Hungary NB III · 16/08, 17:30

Prediction: BKV Elore SC vs ESMTK

Team pages: BKV Elore SC · ESMTK

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.85Total
BKV Elore SC1.17
ESMTK2.68
1X2
14% 17% 69%
BKV Elore SC Draw ESMTK
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
BKV Elore SC 2-0-8 (W-D-L)
LLLLWWLLLL
ESMTK 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
DWWWWLWWDL
Head-to-head
BKV Elore SC 0–1–4 ESMTK (5 last)
  • BKV Elore SC1-2ESMTK
  • ESMTK4-0BKV Elore SC
  • ESMTK1-0BKV Elore SC
  • BKV Elore SC2-2ESMTK
  • ESMTK3-0BKV Elore SC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BKV Elore SC 1424 · ESMTK 1560
BKV Elore SCDrawESMTK
Our model14%18%69%
Market15%16%70%
Estimated total (ours) 3.85 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ESMTK (rating 1424 vs 1560).
  • H2H favours ESMTK: 4-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BKV Elore SCESMTK
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 2.82.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 11.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 2.93 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 03.5 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · BKV Elore SC 014 ESMTK

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
26/04/26
Hungary NB III
BKV Elore SC1-2
HT 0-1
ESMTK
12/10/25
Hungary NB III
ESMTK4-0
HT 0-0
BKV Elore SC
04/05/25
Hungary NB III
ESMTK1-0
HT 0-0
BKV Elore SC
20/10/24
Hungary NB III
BKV Elore SC2-2
HT 0-0
ESMTK
01/10/23
Hungary NB III
ESMTK3-0
HT 0-0
BKV Elore SC

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Gyulai Termal 4400 16212
2 Szeged-Csanad Grosics II 4400 14412
3 III Keruleti TUE 3300 709
4 Ujpest II 4211 1367
5 Szolnoki Mav FC 4211 997
6 FC Dabas 3201 676
7 Csepel FC 4121 345
8 ESMTK 3111 554
9 Monori SE 4112 674
10 Sandorfalvi SK 3102 3123
11 Vasas SC II 3021 682
12 Bekescsabai Elore SE 4022 262
13 Hodmezovasarhelyi 4022 392
14 Kispest Honved II 2011 231
15 Szegedi VSE 4013 581
16 BKV Elore SC 3003 2120

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBKV Elore SCESMTK
Gyulai Termal 2-4 L 1-1 D
III Keruleti TUE 0-2 L 1-3 L
Monori SE 2-1 W 2-1 W
Tiszafoldvar 5-0 W 8-0 W
Hodmezovasarhelyi 2-3 L 2-2 D
Bekescsabai Elore SE II 1-2 L 3-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 4 L 3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: ESMTK (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BKV Elore SC

LLLLWWLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/08 Gyulai Termal
Hungary NB III
1-2 2-4 15 L
09/08 III Keruleti TUE
Hungary NB III
0-1 0-2 44 L
26/07 Ujpest II
Hungary NB III
0-2 0-6 43 L
01/07 Tiszafured VSE
Europe Friendlies
2-2 4-5 01 L
24/05 Monori SE
Hungary NB III
0-0 2-1 85 W
17/05 Tiszafoldvar
Hungary NB III
2-0 5-0 W
10/05 III Keruleti TUE
Hungary NB III
0-0 1-3 25 L
03/05 Hodmezovasarhelyi
Hungary NB III
1-1 2-3 L
26/04 ESMTK
Hungary NB III
0-1 1-2 15 L
19/04 Bekescsabai Elore SE II
Hungary NB III
1-1 1-2 L

ESMTK

DWWWWLWWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/08 Csepel FC
Hungary NB III
1-1 1-2 63 L
09/08 Hodmezovasarhelyi
Hungary NB III
1-2 2-2 21 D
26/07 Monori SE
Hungary NB III
1-1 2-1 48 W
24/05 Tiszafoldvar
Hungary NB III
3-0 8-0 60 W
17/05 III Keruleti TUE
Hungary NB III
0-2 1-3 98 L
10/05 Hodmezovasarhelyi
Hungary NB III
0-0 4-0 52 W
03/05 Bekescsabai Elore SE II
Hungary NB III
0-1 3-1 W
26/04 BKV Elore SC
Hungary NB III
1-0 2-1 55 W
19/04 Kispest Honved II
Hungary NB III
4-0 4-0 13 W
11/04 Gyulai Termal
Hungary NB III
1-0 1-1 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BKV Elore SC vs ESMTK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an ESMTK win (69%). Probabilities: BKV Elore SC 14%, draw 17%, ESMTK 69%.

How many goals are expected in BKV Elore SC vs ESMTK?

The model expects 3.85 goals (BKV Elore SC 1.17 · ESMTK 2.68), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in BKV Elore SC vs ESMTK?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.