Football · Hungary NB III · 19/08, 11:00

Prediction: Vasas SC II vs Kispest Honved II

Team pages: Vasas SC II · Kispest Honved II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.54Total

Vasas SC II2.22

Kispest Honved II1.32

1X2

57% 22% 21%

Vasas SC II Draw Kispest Honved II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Vasas SC II 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWWDDDDL

Kispest Honved II 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLLLWWLDLL

Head-to-head

Vasas SC II 1–2–1 Kispest Honved II (4 last)

Vasas SC II2-2Kispest Honved II
Kispest Honved II1-2Vasas SC II
Kispest Honved II3-2Vasas SC II
Kispest Honved II2-2Vasas SC II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vasas SC II 1533 · Kispest Honved II 1441

	Vasas SC II	Draw	Kispest Honved II
Our model	57%	22%	21%
Market	57%	21%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.54 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vasas SC II (rating 1533 vs 1441).
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vasas SC II	Kispest Honved II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.9	0.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.8	0.4 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.8	2.6 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	4.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.20

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Pinn 1.60 ★
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	4.20 → 4.20	Pinn 4.27

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:46 +12’	1.57	4.20	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
05:59 +1’	1.60	3.85	4.14
09:11	1.60	3.95▲	4.27▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vasas SC II 1–2–1 Kispest Honved II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Hungary NB III	Vasas SC II	2-2 HT 1-1	Kispest Honved II
10/08/25 Hungary NB III	Kispest Honved II	1-2 HT 0-1	Vasas SC II
28/07/24 Hungary NB III	Kispest Honved II	3-2 HT 2-2	Vasas SC II
28/04/24 Hungary NB III	Kispest Honved II	2-2 HT 0-1	Vasas SC II

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyulai Termal	4	4	0	0	16	2	12
2	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	4	4	0	0	14	4	12
3	III Keruleti TUE	4	4	0	0	10	0	12
4	FC Dabas	4	3	0	1	9	8	9
5	Ujpest II	4	2	1	1	13	6	7
6	ESMTK	4	2	1	1	8	5	7
7	Szolnoki Mav FC	4	2	1	1	9	9	7
8	Csepel FC	4	1	2	1	3	4	5
9	Monori SE	4	1	1	2	6	7	4
10	Sandorfalvi SK	4	1	0	3	3	15	3
11	Vasas SC II	3	0	2	1	6	8	2
12	Bekescsabai Elore SE	4	0	2	2	2	6	2
13	Hodmezovasarhelyi	4	0	2	2	3	9	2
14	Szegedi VSE	4	0	1	3	5	8	1
15	Kispest Honved II	3	0	1	2	3	6	1
16	BKV Elore SC	4	0	0	4	2	15	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vasas SC II	Kispest Honved II
Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	3-1 W	2-3 L
FC Dabas	2-1 W	1-3 L
Csepel FC	4-0 W	1-3 L
Monori SE	2-2 D	1-0 W
Tiszafoldvar	3-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Vasas SC II (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vasas SC II

WDWWWDDDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	2-1	3-5	1	4	L
08/08	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
25/07	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	8	2	D
17/05	Dunaharaszti MTK Hungary NB III	2-2	4-4	4	4	D
10/05	Bekescsabai Elore SE II Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	9	5	D
02/05	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	0-1	3-1	2	5	W
26/04	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	1-1	2-1	3	5	W
19/04	Csepel FC Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	6	2	W
11/04	Monori SE Hungary NB III	2-0	2-2	5	5	D
05/04	Tiszafoldvar Hungary NB III	2-1	3-1	–	–	W

Kispest Honved II

DLLLWWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	0-2	1-3	4	2	L
09/08	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	2-2	2-3	8	6	L
26/07	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
24/05	Csepel FC Hungary NB III	0-2	1-3	3	5	L
17/05	Monori SE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
10/05	Tiszafoldvar Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	7	8	W
03/05	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	5	5	L
26/04	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	9	2	L
19/04	ESMTK Hungary NB III	0-4	0-4	2	3	L
11/04	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	9	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vasas SC II vs Kispest Honved II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vasas SC II win (57%). Probabilities: Vasas SC II 57%, draw 22%, Kispest Honved II 21%.

How many goals are expected in Vasas SC II vs Kispest Honved II?

The model expects 3.54 goals (Vasas SC II 2.22 · Kispest Honved II 1.32), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Vasas SC II vs Kispest Honved II?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.