Football · Hungary NB III · 12/08, 17:30

Prediction: Monori SE vs FC Dabas

Team pages: Monori SE · FC Dabas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

Monori SE1.99

FC Dabas1.02

1X2

59% 23% 18%

Monori SE Draw FC Dabas

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Monori SE 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WWLLDLLLLD

FC Dabas 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLDWWLLW

Head-to-head

Monori SE 5–1 FC Dabas (6 last)

FC Dabas1-2Monori SE
Monori SE2-1FC Dabas
Monori SE3-2FC Dabas
Monori SE2-0FC Dabas
FC Dabas3-1Monori SE
FC Dabas2-3Monori SE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Monori SE 1470 · FC Dabas 1499

	Monori SE	Draw	FC Dabas
Our model	59%	23%	18%
Market	59%	23%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Monori SE: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Monori SE	FC Dabas
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.7	1.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.2	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.8	2 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.53

X4.00

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.85

2 (+1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:01 +8’	1.53	4.00	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Monori SE 5–0–1 FC Dabas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/03/26 Hungary NB III	FC Dabas	1-2 HT 0-2	Monori SE
07/09/25 Hungary NB III	Monori SE	2-1 HT 1-0	FC Dabas
17/11/24 Hungary NB III	Monori SE	3-2 HT 0-2	FC Dabas
18/11/23 Hungary NB III	Monori SE	2-0 HT 2-0	FC Dabas
30/07/23 Hungary NB III	FC Dabas	3-1 HT 0-1	Monori SE
02/07/22 Europe Friendlies	FC Dabas	2-3 HT 0-2	Monori SE

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyulai Termal	2	2	0	0	10	0	6
2	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	2	2	0	0	7	3	6
3	III Keruleti TUE	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
4	Ujpest II	2	1	1	0	8	2	4
5	Szolnoki Mav FC	2	1	1	0	7	4	4
6	ESMTK	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
7	FC Dabas	2	1	0	1	3	5	3
8	Vasas SC II	2	0	2	0	3	3	2
9	Bekescsabai Elore SE	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
10	Kispest Honved II	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
10	Szegedi VSE	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
12	Monori SE	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
13	Csepel FC	2	0	1	1	0	2	1
14	Hodmezovasarhelyi	2	0	1	1	2	5	1
15	BKV Elore SC	2	0	0	2	0	8	0
16	Sandorfalvi SK	2	0	0	2	2	12	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Monori SE	FC Dabas
Csepel FC	0-0 D	0-0 D
Gyulai Termal	2-1 W	0-3 L
Szegedi VSE	5-4 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Monori SE (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Monori SE

WWLLDLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Csepel FC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
26/07	ESMTK Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	2	8	L
11/07	Kispest Honved Club Friendly List	0-3	0-6	3	0	L
11/07	Kispest Honved Europe Friendlies	0-3	0-6	3	0	L
07/06	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB III	1-2	1-3	5	8	L
31/05	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	3	7	D
24/05	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	0-0	1-2	6	5	L
17/05	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
10/05	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	0-0	2-1	2	5	W
03/05	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	2-2	5-4	6	9	W

FC Dabas

DWWLDWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
26/07	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	1-1	1-4	1	3	L
24/05	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	0-1	0-3	2	2	L
17/05	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
10/05	Martfui LSE Hungary NB III	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
03/05	Dunaharaszti MTK Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
26/04	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
19/04	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
11/04	Bekescsabai Elore SE II Hungary NB III	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
05/04	Csepel FC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Monori SE vs FC Dabas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Monori SE win (59%). Probabilities: Monori SE 59%, draw 23%, FC Dabas 18%.

How many goals are expected in Monori SE vs FC Dabas?

The model expects 3.02 goals (Monori SE 1.99 · FC Dabas 1.02), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Monori SE vs FC Dabas?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.