Football · Hungary NB III · 12/08, 17:30

Prediction: Dunaharaszti MTK vs Majosi SE

Team pages: Dunaharaszti MTK · Majosi SE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.7Total

Dunaharaszti MTK1.65

Majosi SE2.05

1X2

30% 24% 46%

Dunaharaszti MTK Draw Majosi SE

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Dunaharaszti MTK 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

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Majosi SE 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dunaharaszti MTK 1467 · Majosi SE 1487

	Dunaharaszti MTK	Draw	Majosi SE
Our model	31%	23%	47%
Market	30%	24%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 3.7 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dunaharaszti MTK	Majosi SE
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.7	2.7 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	1.2 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 3.9	2.2 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	4.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.70

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.77

2 (-0.5)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 1.15 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:07 +5’	3.00	3.70	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MTK Budapest II	2	2	0	0	12	2	6
2	Kaposvari Rakoczi	2	2	0	0	9	1	6
3	Ivancsa	2	2	0	0	7	0	6
4	Pecsi MFC	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
5	PEAC FC	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
6	Erdi VSE	2	1	1	0	6	4	4
7	Ferencvarosi TC II	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
8	Budafoki MTE	2	1	0	1	3	4	3
9	Majosi SE	2	0	1	1	3	5	1
9	Paksi SE II	2	0	1	1	3	5	1
11	Budaorsi SC	2	0	1	1	3	10	1
12	BFC Siofok	2	0	0	2	2	4	0
13	Sarbogard SE	2	0	0	2	1	3	0
14	Dunaujvaros FC	1	0	0	1	0	3	0
15	Dunaharaszti MTK	2	0	0	2	0	4	0
16	Szekszardi	2	0	0	2	0	12	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dunaharaszti MTK	Majosi SE
Ferencvarosi TC II	0-2 L	3-2 W
Pecsi MFC	0-2 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Majosi SE (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Dunaharaszti MTK

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Ferencvarosi TC II Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
25/07	Pecsi MFC Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
19/07	Bicskei TC Europe Friendlies	1-3	4-4	4	1	D
24/05	Bekescsabai Elore SE II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	7	7	D
17/05	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	2-2	4-4	6	4	D
10/05	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
03/05	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
26/04	Csepel FC Hungary NB III	2-2	2-3	3	5	L
19/04	Monori SE Hungary NB III	0-2	0-2	4	2	L
11/04	Tiszafoldvar Hungary NB III	2-0	6-0	–	–	W

Majosi SE

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Pecsi MFC Hungary NB III	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
26/07	Paksi SE II Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
24/06	BVSC Zuglo Europe Friendlies	0-2	0-2	1	0	L
24/05	Erdi VSE Hungary NB III	0-1	3-3	5	7	D
17/05	Paksi SE II Hungary NB III	0-3	1-3	–	–	L
10/05	Penzugyor SE Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	7	6	W
03/05	Ferencvarosi TC II Hungary NB III	1-0	3-2	0	7	W
26/04	Dunaujvaros FC Hungary NB III	5-0	7-2	2	3	W
19/04	Pecsi MFC Hungary NB III	1-0	1-2	6	4	L
11/04	Szekszardi Hungary NB III	3-2	5-4	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dunaharaszti MTK vs Majosi SE?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Majosi SE win (46%). Probabilities: Dunaharaszti MTK 30%, draw 24%, Majosi SE 46%.

How many goals are expected in Dunaharaszti MTK vs Majosi SE?

The model expects 3.7 goals (Dunaharaszti MTK 1.65 · Majosi SE 2.05), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dunaharaszti MTK vs Majosi SE?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.