Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 08/08, 15:00

Prediction: Encarnacion FC vs Paraguari AC

Team pages: Encarnacion FC · Paraguari AC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.24Total

Encarnacion FC1.15

Paraguari AC1.09

1X2

37% 30% 33%

Encarnacion FC Draw Paraguari AC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Encarnacion FC 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Paraguari AC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Encarnacion FC 1–0 Paraguari AC (1 last)

Paraguari AC0-1Encarnacion FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Encarnacion FC 1445 · Paraguari AC 1467

	Encarnacion FC	Draw	Paraguari AC
Our model	36%	31%	33%
Market	37%	29%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Encarnacion FC	Paraguari AC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.4	1.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	0.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.9	2.7 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.1	5.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.10

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
19:45 +3’	2.40	3.10	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Encarnacion FC 1–0–0 Paraguari AC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Paraguari AC	0-1 HT 0-0	Encarnacion FC

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	17	11	4	2	24	12	37
2	General Caballero JLM	17	10	3	4	34	22	33
3	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	17	9	5	3	27	16	32
4	Deportivo Santaní	17	9	3	5	23	14	30
5	Sol de America	17	5	10	2	20	15	25
6	Resistencia FC	17	6	6	5	20	21	24
7	Club Atlético Tembetary	17	6	5	6	24	22	23
8	Guairena FC	17	6	5	6	18	20	23
9	Deportivo Capiata	17	5	8	4	23	21	23
10	Independiente FBC	17	5	7	5	25	24	22
11	Carapegua	17	6	4	7	20	29	22
12	Fernando de la Mora	17	5	5	7	19	25	20
13	Paraguari AC	17	4	4	9	17	23	16
14	Tacuary	17	2	9	6	21	27	15
15	Encarnacion FC	17	3	3	11	15	24	12
16	3 de Noviembre	17	0	7	10	13	28	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Encarnacion FC	Paraguari AC
Deportivo Santaní	0-1 L	0-2 L
Fernando de la Mora	0-0 D	2-2 D
3 de Noviembre	2-1 W	1-1 D
General Caballero JLM	0-1 L	2-3 L
Deportivo Capiata	0-1 L	2-1 W
Independiente FBC	2-3 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Encarnacion FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
26/07	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
22/07	Humaita FBC Paraguay Cup	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
19/07	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-1	7	4	W
11/07	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	7	1	L
06/07	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
30/06	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
08/06	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-3	5	7	L
31/05	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	1	8	L
23/05	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	2-3	3	5	L

Paraguari AC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/08	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-1	4	2	W
25/07	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
18/07	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	3-2	6	7	W
15/07	Club 15 de Agosto FBC Paraguay Cup	0-0	1-1	7	5	D
10/07	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-2	6	4	D
03/07	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
28/06	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	9	6	D
04/06	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-1	4	8	D
31/05	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-3	4	9	L
25/05	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-2	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Encarnacion FC vs Paraguari AC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Encarnacion FC win (37%). Probabilities: Encarnacion FC 37%, draw 30%, Paraguari AC 33%.

How many goals are expected in Encarnacion FC vs Paraguari AC?

The model expects 2.24 goals (Encarnacion FC 1.15 · Paraguari AC 1.09), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Encarnacion FC vs Paraguari AC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.